{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "596f9443-78a7-41d5-b567-0b6c106525d1",
    "symbol": "RSPN",
    "name": "INVESCO EXCHANGE TRADED FD TR S&P 500 EQL WGT INDLS ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 88.663,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 70.167,
    "architecture_energy": 45.202,
    "architecture_maturity": 29.611,
    "architecture_confidence": 63.846,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 21.48,
        "rotation_up": 53.34,
        "upward_expansion": 76.35,
        "deceleration": 66.8,
        "rotation_down": 20.88,
        "downward_expansion": 5.35
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        63.619333,
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        62.337975,
        61.720786
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 64.78,
    "trend_reference": 61.235243,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.057888,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 50.729762,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.276962,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -2.046759,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.031207,
    "excess_performance": -0.094418,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.057888,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.036824,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.276962,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.034031,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.020468,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.029253,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.031207,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.596591,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 414646,
      "relative_activity": 0.621318,
      "balance": 3.596591,
      "dry_up": 0.717715,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.029895,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.134845,
      "from_high_reference": -0.010887,
      "from_low_reference": 0.216056
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 61.235243,
      "fair_value_reference": 50.729762,
      "structural_low": 55.775,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 34,
        "median_return": 0.013211,
        "positive_rate": 0.558824,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.558824,
        "median_excess_return": -0.005784,
        "regime_survival": 0.705882,
        "best_return": 0.069871,
        "worst_return": -0.075785,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
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        "worst_return": -0.07809,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "worst_return": -0.032643,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.054569,
        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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        "relative_strength": -2.416317,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 759284.45,
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        "relative_strength": -1.352177,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 731686.2,
        "trend": 60.874837,
        "fair_value": 50.423588,
        "relative_strength": 0.491693,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 62.68,
        "volume": 823581,
        "typical_volume": 693466.85,
        "trend": 61.055799,
        "fair_value": 50.570225,
        "relative_strength": -1.952476,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 55.108123,
        "energy": 37.450904,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 64.78,
        "volume": 414646,
        "typical_volume": 667364.75,
        "trend": 61.235243,
        "fair_value": 50.729762,
        "relative_strength": -2.046759,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.166507,
        "energy": 45.202425,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}