{ "ticker": { "uuid": "59880d95-121a-40ae-b750-d71e77928bed", "symbol": "TRIP", "name": "Tripadvisor, Inc.", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 23.249, "architecture_energy": 23.838, "architecture_maturity": 56.791, "architecture_confidence": 63.037, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.35, "rotation_up": 32.52, "upward_expansion": 66.28, "deceleration": 85.49, "rotation_down": 28.57, "downward_expansion": 18.62 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.334333, 11.608818, 10.913081, 10.439708 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 9.394, "trend_reference": 10.098967, "distance_from_trend": -0.069806, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 14.512769, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.352708, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -35.165643, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.121235, "excess_performance": -0.295482, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.069806, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.035499, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.352708, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.032596, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.351656, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.027924, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.121235, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.457303, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6017, "relative_activity": 3.52624, "balance": 0.457303, "dry_up": 2.237964, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.117383, "annualized_volatility": 0.701368, "from_high_reference": -0.436304, "from_low_reference": 0.194557 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.098967, "fair_value_reference": 14.512769, "structural_low": 7.864, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.007921, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.020312, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.203611, "worst_return": -0.277429, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.255364, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.376381, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.420422, "worst_return": -0.323092, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.099143, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.316024, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.038505, "worst_return": -0.521369, "sufficient": false }, { 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"deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-03-14", "end": "2025-03-28", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.01524, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-04-04", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.095486, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.070107, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-09-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.017893, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-19", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.203782, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2025-11-21", 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10.203667, "fair_value": 14.594058, "relative_strength": -11.653613, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.215971, "energy": 93.188183, "activity_lines": [ 12.296333, 11.553109, 10.578138, 10.234632 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.185, "volume": 4115, "typical_volume": 1437.2, "trend": 10.2125, "fair_value": 14.566205, "relative_strength": -15.762198, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.637518, "energy": 82.698264, "activity_lines": [ 12.328, 11.810018, 10.793452, 10.36246 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.22, "volume": 3049, "typical_volume": 1443.25, "trend": 10.204167, "fair_value": 14.547808, "relative_strength": -14.57122, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.883487, "energy": 62.094672, "activity_lines": [ 12.312, 12.000982, 10.997667, 10.491976 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.394, "volume": 6017, "typical_volume": 1706.35, "trend": 10.098967, "fair_value": 14.512769, "relative_strength": -35.165643, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 23.249173, "energy": 23.838373, "activity_lines": [ 11.334333, 11.608818, 10.913081, 10.439708 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }