{ "ticker": { "uuid": "599b5fc8-e6c1-43de-bb9f-16a18854bca8", "symbol": "TNDM", "name": "Tandem Diabetes Care Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 32.176, "architecture_energy": 30.952, "architecture_maturity": 68.925, "architecture_confidence": 81.058, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.04, "rotation_up": 59.75, "upward_expansion": 33.65, "deceleration": 41.95, "rotation_down": 19.74, "downward_expansion": 24.65 }, "activity_lines": [ 19.388667, 17.968727, 17.453833, 18.133043 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 22.38, "trend_reference": 18.980833, "distance_from_trend": 0.179084, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 25.626186, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.126675, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 8.704737, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.167449, "excess_performance": -0.020004, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.179084, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.054543, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.126675, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.290631, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.087047, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.382925, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.167449, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.326575, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 18750564, "relative_activity": 1.737333, "balance": 2.326575, "dry_up": 1.035549, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.1352, "annualized_volatility": 0.892399, "from_high_reference": -0.245194, "from_low_reference": 1.238 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 18.980833, "fair_value_reference": 25.626186, "structural_low": 12.26, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 36, "median_return": -0.013921, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": -0.044902, "regime_survival": 0.888889, "best_return": 0.548031, "worst_return": -0.359608, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.056133, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.125713, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.679456, "worst_return": -0.513287, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.337544, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.337104, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.315862, "worst_return": -0.505953, 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"activity_lines": [ 15.616667, 16.002091, 17.1035, 18.163538 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 17.08, "volume": 9245301, "typical_volume": 10507340.85, "trend": 19.200833, "fair_value": 25.873109, "relative_strength": -13.227634, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.149758, "energy": 32.985652, "activity_lines": [ 16.052, 16.222545, 16.964905, 18.015978 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 17.12, "volume": 7469663, "typical_volume": 10440273.45, "trend": 19.0265, "fair_value": 25.754199, "relative_strength": -11.424603, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.220953, "energy": 23.417457, "activity_lines": [ 16.468667, 16.421182, 16.869262, 17.881731 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 19.5, "volume": 9240072, "typical_volume": 10450587.55, "trend": 18.958167, "fair_value": 25.665032, "relative_strength": 0.307806, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -16.627545, "energy": 12.396288, "activity_lines": [ 17.557333, 16.974364, 17.019429, 17.91228 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 22.38, "volume": 18750564, "typical_volume": 10792727.9, "trend": 18.980833, "fair_value": 25.626186, "relative_strength": 8.704737, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 32.176153, "energy": 30.95224, "activity_lines": [ 19.388667, 17.968727, 17.453833, 18.133043 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }