{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "599cbce2-b933-4589-91fd-c6f3933fc03f",
    "symbol": "CANC",
    "name": "Tema Oncology ETF",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 75.801,
    "architecture_energy": 59.025,
    "architecture_maturity": 42.063,
    "architecture_confidence": 80.597,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 18.84,
        "rotation_up": 63.12,
        "upward_expansion": 80.11,
        "deceleration": 57.46,
        "rotation_down": 16.57,
        "downward_expansion": 9.11
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        41.52898,
        40.932782,
        39.671574,
        38.894855
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 42.7748,
    "trend_reference": 37.99534,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.125791,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 28.685451,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.491167,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 7.067127,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.169349,
    "excess_performance": -0.018104,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.125791,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.050846,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.491167,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.038605,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.070671,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.079449,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.169349,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.112976,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 104829,
      "relative_activity": 0.723017,
      "balance": 1.112976,
      "dry_up": 0.755874,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.043171,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.232333,
      "from_high_reference": -0.004774,
      "from_low_reference": 0.703785
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 37.99534,
      "fair_value_reference": 28.685451,
      "structural_low": 34.605,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 23,
        "median_return": 0.00702,
        "positive_rate": 0.608696,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.608696,
        "median_excess_return": -0.008194,
        "regime_survival": 0.826087,
        "best_return": 0.11927,
        "worst_return": -0.072559,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.039328,
        "positive_rate": 0.555556,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.555556,
        "median_excess_return": -0.026922,
        "regime_survival": 0.777778,
        "best_return": 0.229318,
        "worst_return": -0.12325,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.112598,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": -0.034894,
        "regime_survival": 0.8,
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        "worst_return": -0.110083,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.066768,
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        "regime_survival": 1.0,
        "best_return": 0.204998,
        "worst_return": -0.071462,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "color": "amber",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.165403,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-04-12",
        "end": "2024-06-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.02781,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.085154,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2024-12-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.037852,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-12-20",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.035364,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.0229,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "color": "red",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 137501.85,
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        "fair_value": 27.50015,
        "relative_strength": 8.578934,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 27.736335,
        "relative_strength": 5.812551,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 77.987617,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 63358,
        "typical_volume": 146796.7,
        "trend": 37.396683,
        "fair_value": 27.971749,
        "relative_strength": 7.960166,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.93538,
        "energy": 77.828396,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.965287,
          39.721569,
          38.725764,
          38.142016
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 41.066,
        "volume": 99481,
        "typical_volume": 144100.4,
        "trend": 37.585297,
        "fair_value": 28.203698,
        "relative_strength": 9.652778,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.885684,
        "energy": 77.393169,
        "activity_lines": [
          41.19424,
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          39.022461,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 40.5957,
        "volume": 170703,
        "typical_volume": 143631.65,
        "trend": 37.785513,
        "fair_value": 28.434678,
        "relative_strength": 7.349942,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.09612,
        "energy": 66.630589,
        "activity_lines": [
          41.008013,
          40.347573,
          39.254229,
          38.572966
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 42.7748,
        "volume": 104829,
        "typical_volume": 144988.2,
        "trend": 37.99534,
        "fair_value": 28.685451,
        "relative_strength": 7.067127,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.801125,
        "energy": 59.025324,
        "activity_lines": [
          41.52898,
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          38.894855
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}