{ "ticker": { "uuid": "59a5c50a-dcf1-4e01-a4d2-52e7525aa024", "symbol": "1304", "name": "USI Corporation", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 83.1, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -31.275, "architecture_energy": 51.163, "architecture_maturity": 8.778, "architecture_confidence": 65.65, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.58, "rotation_up": 17.95, "upward_expansion": 18.99, "deceleration": 43.8, "rotation_down": 65.43, "downward_expansion": 60.66 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.996667, 12.577426, 12.846956, 13.12051 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 12.0, "trend_reference": 13.110843, "distance_from_trend": -0.084727, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 13.681476, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.122902, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -28.26578, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.083604, "excess_performance": -0.357768, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.084727, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.053343, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.122902, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.036218, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.282658, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.017178, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.083604, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.93047, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10584443, "relative_activity": 0.20277, "balance": 0.93047, "dry_up": 0.411803, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.117589, "annualized_volatility": 0.587224, "from_high_reference": -0.379214, "from_low_reference": 0.253757 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.110843, "fair_value_reference": 13.681476, "structural_low": 10.9, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.006438, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.00672, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.006438, "worst_return": -0.006438, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.032662, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.014282, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.032662, "worst_return": -0.032662, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.134488, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.163954, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.134488, "worst_return": -0.134488, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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76432156.15, "trend": 12.959401, "fair_value": 13.926766, "relative_strength": -18.105573, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.320369, "energy": 19.47576, "activity_lines": [ 13.631761, 13.345618, 13.503692, 13.387972 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.9, "volume": 31522021, "typical_volume": 74894937.85, "trend": 13.025206, "fair_value": 13.877835, "relative_strength": -21.232458, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 19.129252, "energy": 13.240733, "activity_lines": [ 13.383446, 13.320736, 13.419091, 13.384139 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.25, "volume": 30735964, "typical_volume": 70008152.8, "trend": 13.034364, "fair_value": 13.815376, "relative_strength": -29.79474, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -42.125449, "energy": 31.908447, "activity_lines": [ 12.618315, 12.981532, 13.177598, 13.26961 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.8, "volume": 13140877, "typical_volume": 64462225.95, "trend": 13.076686, "fair_value": 13.752504, "relative_strength": -27.543572, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -34.495374, "energy": 47.267709, "activity_lines": [ 12.156629, 12.758907, 12.995417, 13.189974 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 12.0, "volume": 10584443, "typical_volume": 52199268.8, "trend": 13.110843, "fair_value": 13.681476, "relative_strength": -28.26578, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -31.275342, "energy": 51.163414, "activity_lines": [ 11.996667, 12.577426, 12.846956, 13.12051 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }