{ "ticker": { "uuid": "59a8c4b2-2b4f-4f8b-ad84-03e4411238d8", "symbol": "INTU", "name": "Intuit Inc.", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -35.065, "architecture_energy": 28.427, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 67.942, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.07, "rotation_up": 30.9, "upward_expansion": 22.51, "deceleration": 47.0, "rotation_down": 20.43, "downward_expansion": 56.51 }, "activity_lines": [ 270.003338, 257.247334, 268.315671, 289.12875 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 286.600006, "trend_reference": 321.350199, "distance_from_trend": -0.108138, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 518.906125, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.447684, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -47.046219, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.235092, "excess_performance": -0.409339, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.108138, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.243103, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.447684, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.074963, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.470462, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.001688, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.235092, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.0, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 5.0, "dry_up": 2.727273, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.080817, "annualized_volatility": 0.653875, "from_high_reference": -0.551756, "from_low_reference": 0.278863 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 321.350199, "fair_value_reference": 518.906125, "structural_low": 224.10524, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.003152, "positive_rate": 0.526316, "directional_follow_through": 0.473684, "median_excess_return": -0.027341, "regime_survival": 0.789474, "best_return": 0.194763, "worst_return": -0.319917, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.108522, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.110507, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.232185, "worst_return": -0.263496, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.086315, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.063346, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.156648, "worst_return": -0.42187, "sufficient": false }, { 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286.600006, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 7.15, "trend": 321.350199, "fair_value": 518.906125, "relative_strength": -47.046219, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -35.06493, "energy": 28.426777, "activity_lines": [ 270.003338, 257.247334, 268.315671, 289.12875 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }