{ "ticker": { "uuid": "59a8e5c4-9e24-43dc-af57-f6e68530e8e6", "symbol": "P2CO34", "name": "Procore Technologies, Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.987, "architecture_energy": 68.067, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 85.887, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.46, "rotation_up": 30.0, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 60.97, "rotation_down": 53.81, "downward_expansion": 83.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 21.044, 21.208546, 22.815715, 25.712839 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 21.09, "trend_reference": 30.233334, "distance_from_trend": -0.302426, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 34.536603, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.389344, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -41.588276, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.501654, "excess_performance": -0.444606, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.302426, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.188454, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.389344, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.168366, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.415883, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.015156, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.501654, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 40.909091, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 40.909091, "dry_up": 4.851912, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.024875, "annualized_volatility": 0.535516, "from_high_reference": -0.511013, "from_low_reference": 0.011026 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 30.233334, "fair_value_reference": 34.536603, "structural_low": 20.860001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.384615, "directional_follow_through": 0.384615, "median_excess_return": 0.005905, "regime_survival": 0.769231, "best_return": 0.606955, "worst_return": -0.161384, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.083333, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.051318, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.253937, "worst_return": -0.310185, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.19751, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.062942, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.213911, "worst_return": -0.055762, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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35.074103, "relative_strength": -40.723637, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.666649, "energy": 89.03329, "activity_lines": [ 23.02, 24.380364, 27.809572, 31.189979 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 20.860001, "volume": 10, "typical_volume": 5.1, "trend": 34.529333, "fair_value": 35.005385, "relative_strength": -47.085906, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -96.368074, "energy": 98.728112, "activity_lines": [ 22.3, 23.483455, 26.780381, 30.260194 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 20.860001, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 5.1, "trend": 33.787, "fair_value": 34.936667, "relative_strength": -46.698389, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -91.487145, "energy": 97.019597, "activity_lines": [ 21.724001, 22.757091, 25.853381, 29.378301 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 20.860001, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 5.1, "trend": 33.071667, "fair_value": 34.867949, "relative_strength": -47.031564, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.504286, "energy": 93.874988, "activity_lines": [ 21.292001, 22.201273, 25.028572, 28.544301 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 20.860001, "volume": 2, "typical_volume": 5.2, "trend": 32.356334, "fair_value": 34.799231, "relative_strength": -44.92698, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.609438, "energy": 70.761079, "activity_lines": [ 21.004001, 21.765273, 24.305953, 27.756452 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 21.09, "volume": 1800, "typical_volume": 95.2, "trend": 31.648667, "fair_value": 34.731987, "relative_strength": -43.559021, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.326512, "energy": 68.550087, "activity_lines": [ 20.936667, 21.49091, 23.707429, 27.029592 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 21.09, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 94.2, "trend": 30.941, "fair_value": 34.634295, "relative_strength": -44.083526, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.331185, "energy": 68.561441, "activity_lines": [ 20.998, 21.332182, 23.21, 26.348387 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 21.09, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 92.85, "trend": 30.233334, "fair_value": 34.536603, "relative_strength": -41.588276, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.986566, "energy": 68.067317, "activity_lines": [ 21.044, 21.208546, 22.815715, 25.712839 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }