{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "59aac5da-05d9-4847-8ae2-56aef49a4146",
    "symbol": "TWN",
    "name": "Taiwan Fund Inc",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 94.204,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 17.089,
    "architecture_energy": 18.136,
    "architecture_maturity": 69.451,
    "architecture_confidence": 94.318,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 57.38,
        "rotation_up": 21.26,
        "upward_expansion": 48.02,
        "deceleration": 84.79,
        "rotation_down": 34.31,
        "downward_expansion": 26.02
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        87.472667,
        89.828,
        90.851476,
        86.231269
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 91.81,
    "trend_reference": 78.893667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.163718,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 42.532561,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.158582,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 24.816642,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.520285,
    "excess_performance": 0.39466,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.163718,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.204864,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.158582,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.469807,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.248166,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.393669,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.520285,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.283486,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 147193,
      "relative_activity": 0.674045,
      "balance": 1.283486,
      "dry_up": 0.927184,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.101992,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.461343,
      "from_high_reference": -0.126368,
      "from_low_reference": 1.149428
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 78.893667,
      "fair_value_reference": 42.532561,
      "structural_low": 59.55,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.072094,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.026482,
        "regime_survival": 0.375,
        "best_return": 0.11215,
        "worst_return": -0.045484,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.089138,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.029113,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.323209,
        "worst_return": 0.050968,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.18872,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.103533,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.835239,
        "worst_return": 0.048644,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.024114,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.121248,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.512758,
        "worst_return": -0.226054,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2023-08-25",
        "end": "2023-10-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.090323,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2023-11-03",
        "end": "2023-11-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.034023,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-11-17",
        "end": "2023-12-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.049511,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-12-08",
        "end": "2024-04-19",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.125782,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-04-26",
        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.042531,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-24",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.094089,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.037835,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.167661,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.249421,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.161069,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-11",
        "end": "2025-11-28",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.217439,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-12-05",
        "end": "2025-12-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.034493,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-12-26",
        "end": "2026-07-17",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.612287,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-24",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.070047,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "typical_volume": 65445.8,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "relative_strength": 39.746928,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 40.930563,
        "relative_strength": 37.532114,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 46.515637,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 86.17,
        "volume": 193846,
        "typical_volume": 215185.65,
        "trend": 75.668194,
        "fair_value": 41.324207,
        "relative_strength": 25.557226,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 39.333051,
        "energy": 24.452081,
        "activity_lines": [
          91.888667,
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          90.560952,
          84.319023
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 85.8,
        "volume": 254359,
        "typical_volume": 214970.75,
        "trend": 76.746667,
        "fair_value": 41.712722,
        "relative_strength": 24.428565,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 32.718465,
        "energy": 20.415347,
        "activity_lines": [
          89.254,
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          90.696381,
          84.972688
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 82.11,
        "volume": 214488,
        "typical_volume": 218302.75,
        "trend": 77.665333,
        "fair_value": 42.088981,
        "relative_strength": 16.75673,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 5.093369,
        "energy": 14.446288,
        "activity_lines": [
          86.391333,
          89.907455,
          90.360333,
          85.31871
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 91.81,
        "volume": 147193,
        "typical_volume": 218372.6,
        "trend": 78.893667,
        "fair_value": 42.532561,
        "relative_strength": 24.816642,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 17.089078,
        "energy": 18.135539,
        "activity_lines": [
          87.472667,
          89.828,
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          86.231269
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}