{ "ticker": { "uuid": "59e98056-e916-43ce-b8c6-36b764c3cf79", "symbol": "DELTAMAGNT", "name": "Delta Manufacturing Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -40.631, "architecture_energy": 36.313, "architecture_maturity": 28.015, "architecture_confidence": 80.522, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 41.43, "rotation_up": 11.19, "upward_expansion": 13.29, "deceleration": 47.09, "rotation_down": 55.72, "downward_expansion": 74.62 }, "activity_lines": [ 57.836668, 58.650364, 59.56681, 59.467054 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 58.59, "trend_reference": 60.104, "distance_from_trend": -0.02519, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 83.097051, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.294921, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -12.046109, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.1, "excess_performance": -0.056291, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.02519, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.057177, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.294921, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.053195, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.120461, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.013306, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.1, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.410168, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 21350, "relative_activity": 0.614577, "balance": 5.410168, "dry_up": 3.112515, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.089067, "annualized_volatility": 0.337531, "from_high_reference": -0.373034, "from_low_reference": 0.287409 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 60.104, "fair_value_reference": 83.097051, "structural_low": 45.509998, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": -0.019027, "positive_rate": 0.315789, "directional_follow_through": 0.315789, "median_excess_return": -0.025164, "regime_survival": 0.736842, "best_return": 0.293726, "worst_return": -0.083834, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.011942, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.040988, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.104584, "worst_return": -0.113422, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.00126, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.125243, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.080399, "worst_return": -0.376742, "sufficient": 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"stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.274196, "energy": 22.735836, "activity_lines": [ 59.530001, 59.981637, 60.056667, 60.104409 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 55.830002, "volume": 13086, "typical_volume": 17110.55, "trend": 60.684334, "fair_value": 83.38359, "relative_strength": -14.790785, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.172535, "energy": 39.517055, "activity_lines": [ 58.048001, 59.169819, 59.73881, 59.763957 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 57.860001, "volume": 388700, "typical_volume": 35631.65, "trend": 60.367667, "fair_value": 83.233013, "relative_strength": -13.204813, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.752192, "energy": 35.505103, "activity_lines": [ 57.722001, 58.823455, 59.617762, 59.581742 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 58.59, "volume": 21350, "typical_volume": 34739.35, "trend": 60.104, "fair_value": 83.097051, "relative_strength": -12.046109, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.631277, "energy": 36.312686, "activity_lines": [ 57.836668, 58.650364, 59.56681, 59.467054 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }