{ "ticker": { "uuid": "59f06bf4-da43-43f2-b3bf-66f00bd19b6e", "symbol": "SYNACT", "name": "SynAct Pharma AB", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 69.718, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 14.785, "architecture_energy": 20.299, "architecture_maturity": 10.099, "architecture_confidence": 44.678, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.68, "rotation_up": 49.05, "upward_expansion": 40.93, "deceleration": 30.77, "rotation_down": 19.06, "downward_expansion": 15.93 }, "activity_lines": [ 18.909333, 18.228363, 17.141333, 17.235548 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 18.799999, "trend_reference": 17.883667, "distance_from_trend": 0.051239, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 16.086992, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.168646, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -13.702234, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.133641, "excess_performance": -0.195135, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.051239, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.076559, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.168646, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.520882, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.137022, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.228258, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.133641, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.746917, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 743038, "relative_activity": 0.579237, "balance": 0.746917, "dry_up": 0.66373, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.182938, "annualized_volatility": 0.925978, "from_high_reference": -0.256917, "from_low_reference": 1.666667 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 17.883667, "fair_value_reference": 16.086992, "structural_low": 7.05, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.053753, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.039949, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.065663, "worst_return": -0.208333, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.339996, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.31745, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.062315, "worst_return": -0.832094, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.079474, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.163896, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.31632, "worst_return": -0.929746, "sufficient": false }, { 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-13.295211, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 17.967956, "energy": 30.07653, "activity_lines": [ 19.32, 17.581454, 16.808095, 17.175785 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 18.26, "volume": 880454, "typical_volume": 1313054.7, "trend": 17.997, "fair_value": 16.652377, "relative_strength": -14.920923, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 17.795628, "energy": 28.716576, "activity_lines": [ 19.118667, 17.894545, 16.950762, 17.183742 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 18.799999, "volume": 743038, "typical_volume": 1282787.9, "trend": 17.883667, "fair_value": 16.086992, "relative_strength": -13.702234, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 14.785049, "energy": 20.299366, "activity_lines": [ 18.909333, 18.228363, 17.141333, 17.235548 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }