{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "59f3b8e6-30d6-46a6-8b4c-1a7213f3df99",
    "symbol": "RCD",
    "name": "RBC Quant Canadian Dividend Leaders ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 66.983,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 83.736,
    "architecture_energy": 78.289,
    "architecture_maturity": 36.965,
    "architecture_confidence": 75.133,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 10.26,
        "rotation_up": 73.11,
        "upward_expansion": 91.57,
        "deceleration": 45.94,
        "rotation_down": 16.85,
        "downward_expansion": 15.9
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        42.069621,
        41.767233,
        41.315421,
        40.804025
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 42.619999,
    "trend_reference": 40.129433,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.062063,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 33.075396,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.288571,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -3.532396,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.113859,
    "excess_performance": -0.006562,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.062063,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.021585,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.288571,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.012516,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.035324,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.003721,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.113859,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 4.237333,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 8600,
      "relative_activity": 0.385737,
      "balance": 4.237333,
      "dry_up": 0.672797,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.015522,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.105194,
      "from_high_reference": -0.008145,
      "from_low_reference": 0.223307
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 40.129433,
      "fair_value_reference": 33.075396,
      "structural_low": 37.455972,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 41,
        "median_return": 0.016008,
        "positive_rate": 0.731707,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.731707,
        "median_excess_return": 0.001768,
        "regime_survival": 0.829268,
        "best_return": 0.061723,
        "worst_return": -0.098789,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": 0.028782,
        "positive_rate": 0.733333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.733333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.002634,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.108881,
        "worst_return": -0.088977,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.055928,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.001148,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
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        "worst_return": -0.051549,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.088167,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.021192,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": 0.037203,
        "sufficient": false
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        "end": "2023-11-10",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 41.759998,
        "volume": 19500,
        "typical_volume": 29390.0,
        "trend": 39.818198,
        "fair_value": 32.862085,
        "relative_strength": -3.033015,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 42.009998,
        "volume": 17400,
        "typical_volume": 24300.0,
        "trend": 39.978963,
        "fair_value": 32.967743,
        "relative_strength": -1.930312,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.043357,
        "energy": 58.806545,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 42.619999,
        "volume": 8600,
        "typical_volume": 22295.0,
        "trend": 40.129433,
        "fair_value": 33.075396,
        "relative_strength": -3.532396,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 78.288632,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}