{ "ticker": { "uuid": "59fa6bba-f149-4e39-a67b-91bdefe19e5f", "symbol": "XLO", "name": "Xilio Development Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 55.464, "architecture_energy": 29.667, "architecture_maturity": 20.594, "architecture_confidence": 57.191, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.69, "rotation_up": 47.58, "upward_expansion": 71.8, "deceleration": 61.15, "rotation_down": 20.65, "downward_expansion": 7.47 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.006667, 8.950727, 8.704381, 8.526264 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 9.17, "trend_reference": 8.3607, "distance_from_trend": 0.096798, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 12.870338, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.287509, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -13.12673, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.210945, "excess_performance": 0.023491, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.096798, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.044756, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.287509, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.212725, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.131267, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.204863, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.210945, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.57195, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 91294, "relative_activity": 0.436721, "balance": 1.57195, "dry_up": 0.914592, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.096273, "annualized_volatility": 0.344874, "from_high_reference": -0.280141, "from_low_reference": 0.418363 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.3607, "fair_value_reference": 12.870338, "structural_low": 6.4652, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.072727, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.152836, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.072727, "worst_return": -0.072727, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.124242, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.314739, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.124242, "worst_return": -0.124242, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.372727, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.446286, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.372727, "worst_return": -0.372727, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"energy": 47.969631, "activity_lines": [ 9.009333, 8.703455, 8.484145, 8.382145 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 8.88, "volume": 423319, "typical_volume": 455994.95, "trend": 8.402713, "fair_value": 13.46412, "relative_strength": -13.819593, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.119191, "energy": 53.904609, "activity_lines": [ 9.009333, 8.774182, 8.54287, 8.411892 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 8.65, "volume": 136168, "typical_volume": 371460.25, "trend": 8.38216, "fair_value": 13.26021, "relative_strength": -14.17273, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.609182, "energy": 37.780136, "activity_lines": [ 8.894667, 8.782364, 8.572626, 8.427846 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.11, "volume": 113980, "typical_volume": 223171.85, "trend": 8.372367, "fair_value": 13.062838, "relative_strength": -9.719598, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.386057, "energy": 30.34793, "activity_lines": [ 8.942667, 8.868909, 8.640333, 8.474804 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.17, "volume": 91294, "typical_volume": 209044.4, "trend": 8.3607, "fair_value": 12.870338, "relative_strength": -13.12673, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.464472, "energy": 29.666561, "activity_lines": [ 9.006667, 8.950727, 8.704381, 8.526264 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }