{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5a05fdfb-a33a-4e31-beac-36e3d766da79", "symbol": "3645", "name": "Taimide Tech. Inc.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 53.404, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -37.877, "architecture_energy": 63.729, "architecture_maturity": 17.239, "architecture_confidence": 71.337, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.02, "rotation_up": 16.83, "upward_expansion": 22.6, "deceleration": 43.53, "rotation_down": 71.43, "downward_expansion": 64.27 }, "activity_lines": [ 68.179999, 73.38601, 83.011218, 83.425212 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 69.199997, "trend_reference": 80.510227, "distance_from_trend": -0.140482, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 55.57742, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.24511, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -30.033699, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.247967, "excess_performance": -0.193405, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.140482, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.116926, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.24511, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.77118, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.300337, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.383366, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.247967, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.590208, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8776576, "relative_activity": 0.248871, "balance": 0.590208, "dry_up": 0.228239, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.158228, "annualized_volatility": 0.670107, "from_high_reference": -0.421724, "from_low_reference": 0.399612 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 80.510227, "fair_value_reference": 55.57742, "structural_low": 54.465283, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.00851, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.007298, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.563025, "worst_return": -0.094664, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.062025, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.032008, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.814286, "worst_return": -0.199743, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.266079, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.112073, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.824441, "worst_return": -0.184154, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 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"2025-06-13", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.22104, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.09299, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.023055, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-10-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.079027, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-11-07", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.094664, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2026-03-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.296992, "active": false }, 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"volume": 5890186, "typical_volume": 36425704.65, "trend": 79.94356, "fair_value": 55.43223, "relative_strength": -29.218457, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -29.356594, "energy": 62.323617, "activity_lines": [ 68.663245, 75.607547, 84.806334, 84.118346 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 69.199997, "volume": 8776576, "typical_volume": 35265599.55, "trend": 80.510227, "fair_value": 55.57742, "relative_strength": -30.033699, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -37.876522, "energy": 63.729063, "activity_lines": [ 68.179999, 73.38601, 83.011218, 83.425212 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }