{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5a0a94ed-a8f0-409f-a1c8-4f21a0d840bf", "symbol": "601798", "name": "Lanpec Technologies Limited", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -48.397, "architecture_energy": 37.263, "architecture_maturity": 63.362, "architecture_confidence": 64.426, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.4, "rotation_up": 25.4, "upward_expansion": 16.68, "deceleration": 65.89, "rotation_down": 44.9, "downward_expansion": 69.01 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.326667, 7.301455, 7.687762, 8.072903 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 7.57, "trend_reference": 8.563333, "distance_from_trend": -0.115998, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.418526, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.020418, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.040843, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.20733, "excess_performance": -0.164126, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.115998, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.067141, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.020418, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.218879, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.150408, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.083529, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.20733, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.694776, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 28973239, "relative_activity": 0.967996, "balance": 0.694776, "dry_up": 1.179768, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.08993, "annualized_volatility": 0.38313, "from_high_reference": -0.357385, "from_low_reference": 0.155725 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.563333, "fair_value_reference": 7.418526, "structural_low": 6.55, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": 0.029187, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.003341, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.180505, "worst_return": -0.182114, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.047887, "positive_rate": 0.857143, "directional_follow_through": 0.142857, "median_excess_return": 0.056111, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.389381, "worst_return": -0.162602, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.120075, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.108422, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.429872, "worst_return": 0.035211, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.929924, "energy": 57.596317, "activity_lines": [ 7.129333, 7.366, 7.937714, 8.320151 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.07, "volume": 41255028, "typical_volume": 32075852.4, "trend": 8.656, "fair_value": 7.414744, "relative_strength": -18.601585, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.838101, "energy": 55.366882, "activity_lines": [ 7.086667, 7.259818, 7.81219, 8.21372 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.51, "volume": 33060699, "typical_volume": 31001114.0, "trend": 8.606667, "fair_value": 7.415769, "relative_strength": -13.692326, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.508757, "energy": 50.444952, "activity_lines": [ 7.193333, 7.265636, 7.742667, 8.139785 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.57, "volume": 28973239, "typical_volume": 29931164.2, "trend": 8.563333, "fair_value": 7.418526, "relative_strength": -15.040843, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.396566, "energy": 37.263345, "activity_lines": [ 7.326667, 7.301455, 7.687762, 8.072903 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }