{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5a1a03e3-c760-44c7-8f0d-9e58d9e16297", "symbol": "000655", "name": "Shandong Jinling Mining Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -51.246, "architecture_energy": 51.87, "architecture_maturity": 98.743, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.88, "rotation_up": 27.88, "upward_expansion": 22.26, "deceleration": 46.98, "rotation_down": 43.88, "downward_expansion": 72.26 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.686, 6.629105, 6.972604, 7.551901 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 6.93, "trend_reference": 8.36739, "distance_from_trend": -0.171785, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.08546, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.021941, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -23.803643, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.34375, "excess_performance": -0.35115, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.171785, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.102703, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.021941, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.188879, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.238036, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.005927, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.34375, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.47633, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 28914843, "relative_activity": 0.974314, "balance": 0.47633, "dry_up": 1.001693, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.061742, "annualized_volatility": 0.366033, "from_high_reference": -0.42394, "from_low_reference": 0.134206 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.36739, "fair_value_reference": 7.08546, "structural_low": 6.11, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": -0.009459, "positive_rate": 0.35, "directional_follow_through": 0.65, "median_excess_return": 0.014614, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.402827, "worst_return": -0.253298, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.027204, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": 0.039475, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.284701, "worst_return": -0.246341, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.077626, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.009483, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.210282, "worst_return": -0.229426, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"trend": 8.546057, "fair_value": 7.07797, "relative_strength": -28.210953, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.082256, "energy": 67.966091, "activity_lines": [ 6.418667, 6.574578, 7.115239, 7.762811 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.8, "volume": 24355853, "typical_volume": 31571894.55, "trend": 8.453057, "fair_value": 7.081207, "relative_strength": -21.79421, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.086105, "energy": 63.52625, "activity_lines": [ 6.544, 6.584114, 7.029041, 7.650162 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.93, "volume": 28914843, "typical_volume": 29677117.35, "trend": 8.36739, "fair_value": 7.08546, "relative_strength": -23.803643, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.245595, "energy": 51.870087, "activity_lines": [ 6.686, 6.629105, 6.972604, 7.551901 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }