{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5a229edf-6d5b-4353-af64-cbcf825b49f3", "symbol": "TKR", "name": "The Timken Company", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 67.022, "architecture_energy": 67.814, "architecture_maturity": 91.0, "architecture_confidence": 85.756, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.4, "rotation_up": 56.34, "upward_expansion": 85.33, "deceleration": 68.67, "rotation_down": 29.9, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 2521.333333, 2492.181818, 2268.454318, 2066.294985 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 2444.0, "trend_reference": 1829.980973, "distance_from_trend": 0.335533, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1516.098535, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.612032, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 43.044804, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.704048, "excess_performance": 0.758715, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.335533, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.221047, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.612032, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.615764, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.430448, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.530742, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.704048, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.195122, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 123, "relative_activity": 6.259542, "balance": 2.195122, "dry_up": 1.564885, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.039073, "annualized_volatility": 0.49812, "from_high_reference": -0.045312, "from_low_reference": 0.776475 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1829.980973, "fair_value_reference": 1516.098535, "structural_low": 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"up", "direction": 80.590475, "energy": 73.200491, "activity_lines": [ 2521.666667, 2399.266182, 2096.943008, 1918.707197 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2560.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 13.5, "trend": 1758.796428, "fair_value": 1501.92074, "relative_strength": 54.125048, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.106207, "energy": 70.220574, "activity_lines": [ 2552.666667, 2447.454545, 2163.155119, 1972.818757 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2560.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 13.5, "trend": 1796.322034, "fair_value": 1509.381432, "relative_strength": 51.257649, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.633447, "energy": 68.952772, "activity_lines": [ 2560.0, 2485.454545, 2224.008096, 2024.50931 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2444.0, "volume": 123, "typical_volume": 19.65, "trend": 1829.980973, "fair_value": 1516.098535, "relative_strength": 43.044804, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.022327, "energy": 67.814351, "activity_lines": [ 2521.333333, 2492.181818, 2268.454318, 2066.294985 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }