{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "5a28b758-8d6a-4e8d-88f5-0dabdebf2142",
    "symbol": "ENRN",
    "name": "Siemens Energy AG",
    "exchange": "MEX",
    "country": "MX",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^MXX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 48.187,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -37.521,
    "architecture_energy": 67.894,
    "architecture_maturity": 9.589,
    "architecture_confidence": 50.208,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 36.36,
        "rotation_up": 17.07,
        "upward_expansion": 24.71,
        "deceleration": 43.39,
        "rotation_down": 69.01,
        "downward_expansion": 64.04
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        3037.898698,
        3084.393293,
        3192.096955,
        3215.4232
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 3046.72998,
    "trend_reference": 3189.834994,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.044863,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 1333.858304,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.284148,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 7.928892,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.018809,
    "excess_performance": 0.073476,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.044863,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.077938,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.284148,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -1.006583,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.079289,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.29641,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.018809,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.706973,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1803,
      "relative_activity": 2.188372,
      "balance": 0.706973,
      "dry_up": 0.844459,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.033462,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.285987,
      "from_high_reference": -0.15603,
      "from_low_reference": 0.646728
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 3189.834994,
      "fair_value_reference": 1333.858304,
      "structural_low": 2965.0,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.033134,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.026381,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.033134,
        "worst_return": 0.033134,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.154734,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.123531,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.154734,
        "worst_return": -0.154734,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.289502,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.363957,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.289502,
        "worst_return": -0.289502,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 3.60077,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 3.586972,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 3.60077,
        "worst_return": 3.60077,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-07-21",
        "end": "2024-03-15",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.312289,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-06-21",
        "end": "2024-08-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-23",
        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 1.688255,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-21",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.09332,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-04-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.247005,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-05-02",
        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-06-27",
        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.422806,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-25",
        "end": "2025-09-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.10251,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-09-19",
        "end": "2025-10-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.203527,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-10-31",
        "end": "2026-04-03",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.356544,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-04-10",
        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.048243,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-06-05",
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        "return": -0.06339,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.055527,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-07-24",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.003101,
        "active": true
      }
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          3341.13121,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 3190.0,
        "volume": 287,
        "typical_volume": 1001.9,
        "trend": 2988.284416,
        "fair_value": 1171.945699,
        "relative_strength": 22.150766,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 39.231332,
        "energy": 29.306255,
        "activity_lines": [
          3357.483317,
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          3206.404259
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 3190.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1001.9,
        "trend": 3022.937118,
        "fair_value": 1189.514637,
        "relative_strength": 17.638011,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 25.159472,
        "energy": 23.2779,
        "activity_lines": [
          3281.223991,
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          3331.534116,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 3190.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1000.0,
        "trend": 3057.589819,
        "fair_value": 1208.181934,
        "relative_strength": 16.858589,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 10.029939,
        "energy": 25.056958,
        "activity_lines": [
          3232.964665,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 3190.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 942.1,
        "trend": 3082.19563,
        "fair_value": 1226.797703,
        "relative_strength": 16.449569,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -2.125228,
        "energy": 28.658455,
        "activity_lines": [
          3200.066667,
          3289.049623,
          3312.121662,
          3238.73901
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 3252.48999,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 872.1,
        "trend": 3108.88444,
        "fair_value": 1245.739129,
        "relative_strength": 17.708955,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -0.757857,
        "energy": 23.90474,
        "activity_lines": [
          3210.829997,
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          3249.725743
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 3047.919922,
        "volume": 1463,
        "typical_volume": 769.25,
        "trend": 3128.754248,
        "fair_value": 1263.43663,
        "relative_strength": 10.192712,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -25.156926,
        "energy": 33.87644,
        "activity_lines": [
          3159.303971,
          3220.070162,
          3282.308314,
          3245.792548
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 3012.870117,
        "volume": 35,
        "typical_volume": 771.0,
        "trend": 3143.334937,
        "fair_value": 1280.909453,
        "relative_strength": 8.258608,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -45.887399,
        "energy": 65.136374,
        "activity_lines": [
          3105.566683,
          3168.513823,
          3255.752183,
          3238.316153
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 3037.310059,
        "volume": 945,
        "typical_volume": 818.25,
        "trend": 3158.73029,
        "fair_value": 1298.538942,
        "relative_strength": 9.101456,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -36.398184,
        "energy": 61.131299,
        "activity_lines": [
          3071.784701,
          3132.258017,
          3233.062951,
          3231.475838
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 3037.310059,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 733.75,
        "trend": 3174.125643,
        "fair_value": 1316.168431,
        "relative_strength": 7.920755,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -41.446916,
        "energy": 68.498246,
        "activity_lines": [
          3048.182048,
          3102.967845,
          3211.799957,
          3223.642275
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 3046.72998,
        "volume": 1803,
        "typical_volume": 823.9,
        "trend": 3189.834994,
        "fair_value": 1333.858304,
        "relative_strength": 7.928892,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -37.52058,
        "energy": 67.894038,
        "activity_lines": [
          3037.898698,
          3084.393293,
          3192.096955,
          3215.4232
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}