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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 67.119, "architecture_energy": 68.097, "architecture_maturity": 37.047, "architecture_confidence": 78.138, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.59, "rotation_up": 73.45, "upward_expansion": 85.33, "deceleration": 68.67, "rotation_down": 13.01, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 1107.550008, 1098.811113, 1072.397406, 1053.372687 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 1096.0, "trend_reference": 1030.962813, "distance_from_trend": 0.063084, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 804.635586, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.362107, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 10.083756, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.107071, "excess_performance": 0.161737, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.063084, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.046012, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.362107, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.050301, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.100838, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.110562, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.107071, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.265455, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 275, "relative_activity": 3.168203, "balance": 5.265455, "dry_up": 1.610023, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.013984, "annualized_volatility": 0.144933, "from_high_reference": -0.035661, "from_low_reference": 0.359012 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1030.962813, "fair_value_reference": 804.635586, "structural_low": 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1096.691219, 1082.189711, 1052.571323, 1036.740907 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1136.530029, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 59.3, "trend": 1023.062813, "fair_value": 797.579949, "relative_strength": 15.804567, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 96.608978, "energy": 78.783709, "activity_lines": [ 1112.95175, 1095.116, 1062.415353, 1044.387243 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1093.0, "volume": 275, "typical_volume": 73.05, "trend": 1026.662813, "fair_value": 801.097721, "relative_strength": 10.139068, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.210062, "energy": 68.284531, "activity_lines": [ 1110.434009, 1097.572648, 1067.477808, 1048.89932 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1096.0, "volume": 275, "typical_volume": 86.8, "trend": 1030.962813, "fair_value": 804.635586, "relative_strength": 10.083756, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.118771, "energy": 68.097133, "activity_lines": [ 1107.550008, 1098.811113, 1072.397406, 1053.372687 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }