{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "5a5db448-e370-49b4-ae59-c89d80b2cb84",
    "symbol": "SMIT",
    "name": "Sahamit Machinery Public Company Limited",
    "exchange": "SET",
    "country": "TH",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SET.BK",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 56.639,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 79.081,
    "architecture_energy": 90.03,
    "architecture_maturity": 12.542,
    "architecture_confidence": 65.353,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 7.82,
        "rotation_up": 85.25,
        "upward_expansion": 99.45,
        "deceleration": 39.02,
        "rotation_down": 8.36,
        "downward_expansion": 21.45
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        3.487474
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 3.66,
    "trend_reference": 3.463367,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.056775,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 3.610829,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.013618,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -8.821627,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.058529,
    "excess_performance": -0.133796,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.056775,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.01099,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.013618,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.080724,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.088216,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.060888,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.058529,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 76.660256,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 434600,
      "relative_activity": 1.209069,
      "balance": 76.660256,
      "dry_up": 1.743358,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.018495,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.068491,
      "from_high_reference": -0.010811,
      "from_low_reference": 0.107763
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 3.610829,
      "structural_low": 3.303955,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 22,
        "median_return": -0.002155,
        "positive_rate": 0.409091,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.409091,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004187,
        "regime_survival": 0.681818,
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        "worst_return": -0.060241,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "regime_survival": 0.444444,
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        "worst_return": -0.084742,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.057146,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.051202,
        "sufficient": false
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "relative_strength": -13.084079,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "activity_lines": [
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 439710.0,
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      },
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      },
      {
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 16.416248,
        "energy": 35.281195,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 386340.0,
        "trend": 3.435717,
        "fair_value": 3.621859,
        "relative_strength": -14.951005,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 482200,
        "typical_volume": 351455.0,
        "trend": 3.438463,
        "fair_value": 3.619383,
        "relative_strength": -13.518673,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.057595,
        "energy": 62.50812,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.492,
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          3.440219
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 3.6,
        "volume": 902500,
        "typical_volume": 347400.0,
        "trend": 3.443849,
        "fair_value": 3.617079,
        "relative_strength": -12.638475,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.778934,
        "energy": 74.464768,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.532,
          3.498909,
          3.460011,
          3.450641
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 3.62,
        "volume": 890000,
        "typical_volume": 370190.0,
        "trend": 3.449262,
        "fair_value": 3.614796,
        "relative_strength": -12.055092,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.163507,
        "energy": 85.441567,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.569333,
          3.525455,
          3.477444,
          3.462006
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 3.64,
        "volume": 279500,
        "typical_volume": 356965.0,
        "trend": 3.455981,
        "fair_value": 3.612642,
        "relative_strength": -10.221394,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.999146,
        "energy": 90.094256,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.602667,
          3.551636,
          3.495916,
          3.474311
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 3.66,
        "volume": 434600,
        "typical_volume": 359450.0,
        "trend": 3.463367,
        "fair_value": 3.610829,
        "relative_strength": -8.821627,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.080691,
        "energy": 90.029852,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.630667,
          3.577091,
          3.515242,
          3.487474
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}