{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "5a927805-9c7f-409f-9f56-ca3ffd5c938c",
    "symbol": "600730",
    "name": "China Hi-Tech Group Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 61.569,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -4.078,
    "architecture_energy": 19.593,
    "architecture_maturity": 46.172,
    "architecture_confidence": 52.047,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 58.88,
        "rotation_up": 18.0,
        "upward_expansion": 17.03,
        "deceleration": 64.55,
        "rotation_down": 54.58,
        "downward_expansion": 39.69
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        10.11,
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        10.995714,
        10.774968
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 11.8,
    "trend_reference": 10.675,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.105386,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 7.313581,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.613437,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 11.228271,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.130268,
    "excess_performance": 0.173472,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.105386,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.027807,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.613437,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.106323,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.112283,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.097439,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.130268,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.895255,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 66924188,
      "relative_activity": 0.875509,
      "balance": 0.895255,
      "dry_up": 0.815009,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.152021,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.785028,
      "from_high_reference": -0.258328,
      "from_low_reference": 0.558785
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 10.675,
      "fair_value_reference": 7.313581,
      "structural_low": 7.57,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.012403,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.002471,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.19534,
        "worst_return": -0.160362,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.014308,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.050981,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.285556,
        "worst_return": -0.290406,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.048658,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.002016,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.122995,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "best_return": 1.241899,
        "worst_return": -0.163752,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "return": 0.13785,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
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        "active": false
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 75019887.2,
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        "fair_value": 7.251149,
        "relative_strength": -22.963438,
        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "typical_volume": 76159331.0,
        "trend": 10.646333,
        "fair_value": 7.276725,
        "relative_strength": -0.62569,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -20.923051,
        "energy": 33.657345,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 11.8,
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        "typical_volume": 76440333.55,
        "trend": 10.675,
        "fair_value": 7.313581,
        "relative_strength": 11.228271,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}