{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5a94dfb0-edba-4506-aba3-0ea2141cc81a", "symbol": "EATG", "name": "EatGood Sweden AB (Publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 21.455, "architecture_energy": 31.085, "architecture_maturity": 30.854, "architecture_confidence": 42.644, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.95, "rotation_up": 49.45, "upward_expansion": 50.85, "deceleration": 30.3, "rotation_down": 20.56, "downward_expansion": 13.85 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.169367, 0.162064, 0.158333, 0.152747 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.1655, "trend_reference": 0.156033, "distance_from_trend": 0.060671, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.725821, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.771982, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -39.265816, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.226636, "excess_performance": -0.28813, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.060671, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.270986, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.771982, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.016047, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.392658, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.096858, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.226636, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.443309, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 92607, "relative_activity": 0.150505, "balance": 0.443309, "dry_up": 0.799256, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.2561, "annualized_volatility": 1.70046, "from_high_reference": -0.743411, "from_low_reference": 1.758333 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.156033, "fair_value_reference": 0.725821, "structural_low": 0.06, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": -0.070707, "positive_rate": 0.26087, "directional_follow_through": 0.26087, "median_excess_return": -0.068426, "regime_survival": 0.652174, "best_return": 0.19863, "worst_return": -0.334862, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.29375, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.265249, "regime_survival": 0.111111, "best_return": -0.110193, "worst_return": -0.765411, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.408333, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.471449, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": -0.132231, "worst_return": -0.556667, "sufficient": true }, { 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"regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-09-06", "end": "2025-01-17", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.338308, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-01-24", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.247312, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-05-02", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.065217, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-05-09", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.237113, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.224348, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-10-31", 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19.417282, "activity_lines": [ 0.1462, 0.148173, 0.148552, 0.151039 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.17, "volume": 1664472, "typical_volume": 685854.5, "trend": 0.1673, "fair_value": 0.754135, "relative_strength": -38.666989, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -7.881445, "energy": 3.379862, "activity_lines": [ 0.153833, 0.151327, 0.151419, 0.150817 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.185, "volume": 59409, "typical_volume": 661101.15, "trend": 0.1618, "fair_value": 0.744744, "relative_strength": -33.114158, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 25.998998, "energy": 19.475382, "activity_lines": [ 0.166367, 0.157418, 0.155231, 0.151959 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.1675, "volume": 150663, "typical_volume": 637403.35, "trend": 0.158983, "fair_value": 0.735272, "relative_strength": -38.723813, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 18.699525, "energy": 25.663635, "activity_lines": [ 0.169633, 0.160027, 0.157062, 0.152327 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.1655, "volume": 92607, "typical_volume": 615306.95, "trend": 0.156033, "fair_value": 0.725821, "relative_strength": -39.265816, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 21.454837, "energy": 31.08495, "activity_lines": [ 0.169367, 0.162064, 0.158333, 0.152747 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }