{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5a997e1b-2894-49bc-8416-f16f6dee9fa1", "symbol": "5205", "name": "Taiwan Green Environment Technology Inc.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -59.144, "architecture_energy": 49.637, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 94.814, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.21, "rotation_up": 18.33, "upward_expansion": 8.75, "deceleration": 43.09, "rotation_down": 62.29, "downward_expansion": 86.75 }, "activity_lines": [ 21.906667, 22.471818, 23.032619, 24.010753 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 21.9, "trend_reference": 25.468333, "distance_from_trend": -0.140109, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 30.725, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.287225, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -46.372698, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.203636, "excess_performance": -0.645008, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.140109, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.090363, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.287225, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.028723, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.463727, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.071312, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.203636, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.711597, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 12385, "relative_activity": 0.51976, "balance": 0.711597, "dry_up": 0.56414, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.109413, "annualized_volatility": 0.393045, "from_high_reference": -0.376956, "from_low_reference": 0.106061 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 25.468333, "fair_value_reference": 30.725, "structural_low": 19.799999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": 0.001133, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.040675, "regime_survival": 0.857143, "best_return": 0.363229, "worst_return": -0.15371, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.044635, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": -0.179085, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.345291, "worst_return": -0.335038, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.007022, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.252016, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 1.035875, "worst_return": -0.429667, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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22.636667, 23.263637, 23.781667, 24.826452 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 21.799999, "volume": 11721, "typical_volume": 24723.55, "trend": 26.103334, "fair_value": 30.891346, "relative_strength": -45.536117, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.256034, "energy": 54.364372, "activity_lines": [ 22.213333, 22.952727, 23.489762, 24.531613 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 21.950001, "volume": 14000, "typical_volume": 24140.95, "trend": 25.82, "fair_value": 30.81218, "relative_strength": -45.432163, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.278996, "energy": 58.782593, "activity_lines": [ 21.983334, 22.702728, 23.248572, 24.263656 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 21.9, "volume": 12385, "typical_volume": 23828.3, "trend": 25.468333, "fair_value": 30.725, "relative_strength": -46.372698, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.143973, "energy": 49.637171, "activity_lines": [ 21.906667, 22.471818, 23.032619, 24.010753 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }