{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5a9a5fca-78f6-437a-9596-6f619661c8ad", "symbol": "2724", "name": "Architectural Aesthetics Global Development CO.,LTD.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -71.261, "architecture_energy": 62.831, "architecture_maturity": 79.228, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 4.89, "rotation_up": 27.98, "upward_expansion": 11.43, "deceleration": 57.93, "rotation_down": 57.53, "downward_expansion": 87.1 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.826667, 11.153636, 12.150952, 13.566774 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 10.5, "trend_reference": 15.486667, "distance_from_trend": -0.321997, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 23.078846, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.545038, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -58.006553, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.475, "excess_performance": -0.916372, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.321997, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.146897, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.545038, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.166938, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.580066, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.048903, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.475, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.271466, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 249000, "relative_activity": 2.931474, "balance": 0.271466, "dry_up": 1.265891, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.124542, "annualized_volatility": 0.387748, "from_high_reference": -0.537445, "from_low_reference": 0.039604 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 15.486667, "fair_value_reference": 23.078846, "structural_low": 10.1, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": -0.020243, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.04781, "regime_survival": 0.857143, "best_return": 0.153846, "worst_return": -0.170886, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.049457, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.177435, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 1.792308, "worst_return": -0.325949, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.020446, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.223309, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 1.692308, "worst_return": -0.411765, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.142227, "energy": 71.457993, "activity_lines": [ 11.886667, 12.342727, 13.960714, 15.361505 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 10.65, "volume": 176300, "typical_volume": 70087.95, "trend": 16.775, "fair_value": 23.164744, "relative_strength": -58.57217, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.430148, "energy": 82.353666, "activity_lines": [ 11.413333, 11.946364, 13.496429, 14.948495 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 11.85, "volume": 56100, "typical_volume": 70492.95, "trend": 16.553333, "fair_value": 23.149039, "relative_strength": -53.849572, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.560123, "energy": 61.518805, "activity_lines": [ 11.483333, 11.831818, 13.188333, 14.630753 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.65, "volume": 105000, "typical_volume": 73292.95, "trend": 16.175, "fair_value": 23.125641, "relative_strength": -56.915288, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.009864, "energy": 63.723112, "activity_lines": [ 11.186667, 11.546364, 12.79881, 14.249893 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.9, "volume": 20000, "typical_volume": 74042.95, "trend": 15.813333, "fair_value": 23.104487, "relative_strength": -55.942586, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.008319, "energy": 61.452253, "activity_lines": [ 11.053333, 11.366364, 12.47119, 13.90957 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 10.5, "volume": 249000, "typical_volume": 84940.2, "trend": 15.486667, "fair_value": 23.078846, "relative_strength": -58.006553, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.260618, "energy": 62.831383, "activity_lines": [ 10.826667, 11.153636, 12.150952, 13.566774 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }