{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5ab23a16-4294-4f56-a79f-a90ba01e87b8", "symbol": "ASAHIINDIA", "name": "Asahi India Glass Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 65.144, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 21.724, "architecture_energy": 12.572, "architecture_maturity": 26.518, "architecture_confidence": 65.787, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 54.92, "rotation_up": 33.82, "upward_expansion": 33.38, "deceleration": 45.96, "rotation_down": 28.41, "downward_expansion": 16.72 }, "activity_lines": [ 889.460002, 887.493641, 877.40762, 873.280644 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 898.700012, "trend_reference": 881.774998, "distance_from_trend": 0.019194, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 730.282266, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.23062, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.397897, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.079389, "excess_performance": -0.03568, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.019194, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.036876, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.23062, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.033765, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.003979, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.017488, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.079389, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.950034, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2076180, "relative_activity": 3.609326, "balance": 2.950034, "dry_up": 1.438551, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.057258, "annualized_volatility": 0.248128, "from_high_reference": -0.163222, "from_low_reference": 0.159463 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 881.774998, "fair_value_reference": 730.282266, "structural_low": 775.099976, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.008752, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.001326, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.225118, "worst_return": -0.062816, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.07298, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.025059, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.288488, "worst_return": 0.026156, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.222133, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.1122, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.334945, "worst_return": 0.1259, "sufficient": false }, { 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"Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 4.090482, "energy": 11.883846, "activity_lines": [ 889.473348, 883.500915, 866.679762, 874.056235 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 881.200012, "volume": 616133, "typical_volume": 1096548.1, "trend": 890.879997, "fair_value": 723.512996, "relative_strength": -0.105601, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -8.169249, "energy": 14.643321, "activity_lines": [ 888.71335, 884.924554, 869.014049, 873.157526 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 888.299988, "volume": 235693, "typical_volume": 1083745.3, "trend": 887.306663, "fair_value": 725.669797, "relative_strength": 2.894442, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 9.179987, "energy": 11.314912, "activity_lines": [ 890.480009, 886.819096, 872.117381, 872.991074 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 876.549988, "volume": 381965, "typical_volume": 1083131.6, "trend": 883.454997, "fair_value": 727.897096, "relative_strength": -1.181788, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 18.39687, "energy": 13.536172, "activity_lines": [ 885.533333, 885.329094, 873.818571, 872.297095 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 898.700012, "volume": 2076180, "typical_volume": 575226.45, "trend": 881.774998, "fair_value": 730.282266, "relative_strength": 0.397897, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 21.723684, "energy": 12.57178, "activity_lines": [ 889.460002, 887.493641, 877.40762, 873.280644 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }