{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5ac60973-d21e-4890-963c-589083e8f509", "symbol": "SGRO", "name": "SEGRO Plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 77.746, "architecture_energy": 90.902, "architecture_maturity": 33.387, "architecture_confidence": 82.111, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.65, "rotation_up": 85.7, "upward_expansion": 99.68, "deceleration": 39.12, "rotation_down": 8.41, "downward_expansion": 21.68 }, "activity_lines": [ 943.50422, 901.448615, 829.716641, 799.145336 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 959.6, "trend_reference": 772.412896, "distance_from_trend": 0.242341, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 767.627177, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.250086, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 21.185473, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.277485, "excess_performance": 0.226249, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.242341, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.069154, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.250086, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.309239, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.211855, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.237946, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.277485, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.658998, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 43308421, "relative_activity": 2.093075, "balance": 2.658998, "dry_up": 2.585761, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.050214, "annualized_volatility": 0.404499, "from_high_reference": -0.027754, "from_low_reference": 0.591877 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 772.412896, "fair_value_reference": 767.627177, "structural_low": 632.200012, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": 0.011318, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.001561, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.100642, "worst_return": -0.110338, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.011486, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.029197, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.177162, "worst_return": -0.140719, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.011513, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.059347, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.153353, "worst_return": -0.251579, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"activity_lines": [ 841.07544, 795.721472, 756.371822, 750.106031 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 888.0363, "volume": 22593534, "typical_volume": 14012808.3, "trend": 747.959808, "fair_value": 763.471563, "relative_strength": 17.012653, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.397107, "energy": 93.313814, "activity_lines": [ 864.165547, 818.218438, 770.436798, 759.545927 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 968.7849, "volume": 109907955, "typical_volume": 18669315.15, "trend": 756.740041, "fair_value": 764.852821, "relative_strength": 25.408977, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 92.943749, "energy": 96.592689, "activity_lines": [ 905.009433, 852.290853, 791.967827, 773.792707 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 954.931, "volume": 38201033, "typical_volume": 19811767.3, "trend": 764.825216, "fair_value": 766.195214, "relative_strength": 21.519012, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.873338, "energy": 92.82545, "activity_lines": [ 925.969693, 878.630107, 811.173611, 786.579221 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 959.6, "volume": 43308421, "typical_volume": 20691291.45, "trend": 772.412896, "fair_value": 767.627177, "relative_strength": 21.185473, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.745703, "energy": 90.901951, "activity_lines": [ 943.50422, 901.448615, 829.716641, 799.145336 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }