{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5ad28ad1-c348-4fad-95b0-0fa6f6bcf194", "symbol": "FSTN", "name": "Fastned B.V.", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 56.383, "architecture_energy": 44.361, "architecture_maturity": 23.93, "architecture_confidence": 79.715, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.6, "rotation_up": 51.74, "upward_expansion": 76.98, "deceleration": 62.94, "rotation_down": 21.52, "downward_expansion": 5.98 }, "activity_lines": [ 32.396666, 31.641818, 31.35119, 29.573763 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 32.349998, "trend_reference": 27.195, "distance_from_trend": 0.189557, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 22.881418, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.413811, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 8.043781, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.533175, "excess_performance": 0.358929, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.189557, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.151842, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.413811, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.105842, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.080438, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.021759, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.533175, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.257053, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 180, "relative_activity": 1.449859, "balance": 2.257053, "dry_up": 2.537253, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.079539, "annualized_volatility": 0.486563, "from_high_reference": -0.156454, "from_low_reference": 0.6175 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 27.195, "fair_value_reference": 22.881418, "structural_low": 20.700001, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.06369, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.012023, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.124294, "worst_return": -0.063349, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.12421, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.050653, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.188324, "worst_return": 0.060096, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.050481, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.207041, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.050481, "worst_return": 0.050481, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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28.068809, 26.196344 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "close": 33.150002, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 99.15, "trend": 24.471667, "fair_value": 22.395714, "relative_strength": 17.291139, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.074327, "energy": 68.033023, "activity_lines": [ 34.270001, 32.509091, 28.786429, 26.783656 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 27.950001, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 99.15, "trend": 24.728333, "fair_value": 22.437164, "relative_strength": -4.939119, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.735966, "energy": 58.790948, "activity_lines": [ 32.253334, 32.013637, 28.960476, 27.008065 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 28.299999, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 99.15, "trend": 24.97, "fair_value": 22.480593, "relative_strength": -1.765066, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.78866, "energy": 33.54963, "activity_lines": [ 30.48, 31.492728, 29.13881, 27.238495 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 30.950001, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 99.15, "trend": 25.3, "fair_value": 22.542868, "relative_strength": 4.945991, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.106507, "energy": 30.055759, "activity_lines": [ 30.140001, 31.421819, 29.535238, 27.624301 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 31.049999, "volume": 360, "typical_volume": 85.1, "trend": 25.646667, "fair_value": 22.604963, "relative_strength": 6.695823, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.054776, "energy": 30.376281, "activity_lines": [ 30.2, 31.342727, 29.894048, 27.995269 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 31.549999, "volume": 180, "typical_volume": 94.1, "trend": 26.02, "fair_value": 22.669783, "relative_strength": 10.506792, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.694657, "energy": 25.503082, "activity_lines": [ 30.623333, 31.316364, 30.256905, 28.376129 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 31.950001, "volume": 360, "typical_volume": 108.0, "trend": 26.418333, "fair_value": 22.736547, "relative_strength": 10.316069, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.981908, "energy": 37.917207, "activity_lines": [ 31.286667, 31.310909, 30.610714, 28.75871 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 33.549999, "volume": 540, "typical_volume": 135.0, "trend": 26.848333, "fair_value": 22.813786, "relative_strength": 15.542163, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.375362, "energy": 49.399037, "activity_lines": [ 32.216666, 31.558182, 31.067143, 29.218817 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 32.349998, "volume": 180, "typical_volume": 124.15, "trend": 27.195, "fair_value": 22.881418, "relative_strength": 8.043781, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.382531, "energy": 44.361313, "activity_lines": [ 32.396666, 31.641818, 31.35119, 29.573763 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }