{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5ad412f1-93fa-4402-8a88-f2d488fd2ea0", "symbol": "2455", "name": "Visual Photonics Epitaxy Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 38.434, "architecture_energy": 18.618, "architecture_maturity": 45.642, "architecture_confidence": 68.85, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.71, "rotation_up": 37.53, "upward_expansion": 59.56, "deceleration": 64.81, "rotation_down": 24.63, "downward_expansion": 16.56 }, "activity_lines": [ 345.166667, 340.627519, 351.062174, 333.354846 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 379.5, "trend_reference": 298.050821, "distance_from_trend": 0.273273, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 171.625554, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.211209, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 24.294253, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 1.322658, "excess_performance": 0.881286, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.273273, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.290552, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.211209, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.151383, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.242943, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.198741, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.322658, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.859886, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 18210561, "relative_activity": 0.428274, "balance": 1.859886, "dry_up": 1.027682, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.182449, "annualized_volatility": 0.806689, "from_high_reference": -0.169397, "from_low_reference": 1.950403 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 298.050821, "fair_value_reference": 171.625554, "structural_low": 166.370153, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.044776, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.015839, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.110619, "worst_return": -0.065972, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.126252, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.019681, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.247787, "worst_return": -0.20922, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.014773, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.094007, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 1.413195, "worst_return": -0.128617, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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348.297332, 321.516143 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 292.0, "volume": 35025886, "typical_volume": 51854217.9, "trend": 283.133818, "fair_value": 168.45038, "relative_strength": 2.84025, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 0.025426, "energy": 15.373474, "activity_lines": [ 310.466667, 332.507698, 344.548717, 322.381823 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 364.0, "volume": 70487100, "typical_volume": 49555866.2, "trend": 290.284323, "fair_value": 169.997466, "relative_strength": 24.296464, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 17.654502, "energy": 15.08759, "activity_lines": [ 325.433333, 334.657122, 347.390092, 327.598996 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 379.5, "volume": 18210561, "typical_volume": 42520777.4, "trend": 298.050821, "fair_value": 171.625554, "relative_strength": 24.294253, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.434132, "energy": 18.61768, "activity_lines": [ 345.166667, 340.627519, 351.062174, 333.354846 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }