{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5af0e04f-2c94-416a-bbf5-b4128b750415", "symbol": "SATS", "name": "Satsuma Technology PLC", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -50.002, "architecture_energy": 29.336, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 93.245, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.37, "rotation_up": 24.17, "upward_expansion": 2.66, "deceleration": 52.35, "rotation_down": 41.75, "downward_expansion": 73.66 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.00209, 0.002091, 0.002138, 0.002179 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.00209, "trend_reference": 0.002335, "distance_from_trend": -0.104925, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.009954, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.790031, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -74.012438, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.266667, "excess_performance": -0.317902, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.104925, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.471041, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.790031, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.005135, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.740124, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.127014, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.266667, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.002568, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.002568, "dry_up": 0.0, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.087229, "annualized_volatility": 0.590361, "from_high_reference": -0.951395, "from_low_reference": 0.123656 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.002335, "fair_value_reference": 0.009954, "structural_low": 0.00186, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.107483, "positive_rate": 0.3125, "directional_follow_through": 0.5625, "median_excess_return": -0.088192, "regime_survival": 0.875, "best_return": 8.090909, "worst_return": -0.461538, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.156368, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.187559, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 5.857143, "worst_return": -0.763846, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.772727, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.66465, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 2.2, "worst_return": -0.769231, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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0, "typical_volume": 52187711.65, "trend": 0.002402, "fair_value": 0.010267, "relative_strength": -78.814473, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.535033, "energy": 31.151763, "activity_lines": [ 0.002089, 0.0021, 0.002152, 0.002217 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.00209, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 51367284.7, "trend": 0.002374, "fair_value": 0.010104, "relative_strength": -76.232755, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.732546, "energy": 29.186575, "activity_lines": [ 0.00209, 0.002093, 0.002145, 0.002197 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.00209, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 50420697.7, "trend": 0.002335, "fair_value": 0.009954, "relative_strength": -74.012438, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.002183, "energy": 29.335707, "activity_lines": [ 0.00209, 0.002091, 0.002138, 0.002179 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }