{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5b012808-8cf4-479e-921f-f88ed722f8c8", "symbol": "025890", "name": "Hankook Steel Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "KSC", "country": "KR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-10-09", "benchmark": "^KS11", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 63.989, "architecture_energy": 59.221, "architecture_maturity": 82.637, "architecture_confidence": 82.513, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.4, "rotation_up": 56.44, "upward_expansion": 83.82, "deceleration": 68.66, "rotation_down": 25.07, "downward_expansion": 10.48 }, "activity_lines": [ 2633.666667, 2602.909091, 2481.542857, 2374.972043 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 2630.0, "trend_reference": 2232.333333, "distance_from_trend": 0.178139, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2114.929487, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.24354, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 12.870551, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.311721, "excess_performance": 0.180798, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.178139, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.141333, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.24354, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.209417, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.128706, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.395134, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.311721, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.924775, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 64274, "relative_activity": 1.027233, "balance": 1.924775, "dry_up": 2.105474, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.051185, "annualized_volatility": 0.279003, "from_high_reference": -0.057348, "from_low_reference": 0.760375 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2232.333333, "fair_value_reference": 2114.929487, "structural_low": 1854.0, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.048288, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.033042, "regime_survival": 0.642857, "best_return": 0.404306, "worst_return": -0.308399, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.11165, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.112169, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.443662, "worst_return": -0.149254, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.01635, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.353233, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.855634, "worst_return": -0.263682, "sufficient": false 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164122, "typical_volume": 85122.85, "trend": 2165.333333, "fair_value": 2115.762821, "relative_strength": 4.950629, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.455918, "energy": 69.403978, "activity_lines": [ 2623.333333, 2562.636364, 2420.328571, 2317.574194 ] }, { "date": "2026-10-02", "close": 2625.0, "volume": 117219, "typical_volume": 70577.05, "trend": 2200.0, "fair_value": 2114.833333, "relative_strength": 5.819389, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.543802, "energy": 64.334627, "activity_lines": [ 2631.333333, 2585.818182, 2452.042857, 2347.230108 ] }, { "date": "2026-10-09", "close": 2630.0, "volume": 64274, "typical_volume": 62570.0, "trend": 2232.333333, "fair_value": 2114.929487, "relative_strength": 12.870551, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.989169, "energy": 59.221088, "activity_lines": [ 2633.666667, 2602.909091, 2481.542857, 2374.972043 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }