{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5b0aab89-80a2-447b-9e05-b29726347c16", "symbol": "GLOBAL", "name": "Siam Global House Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 67.148, "architecture_energy": 56.021, "architecture_maturity": 32.737, "architecture_confidence": 81.058, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.94, "rotation_up": 65.78, "upward_expansion": 85.98, "deceleration": 45.75, "rotation_down": 14.43, "downward_expansion": 10.32 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.42, 7.222727, 7.00119, 6.866854 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 7.65, "trend_reference": 6.744779, "distance_from_trend": 0.134211, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 10.042217, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.238216, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -0.361562, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.121711, "excess_performance": -0.070614, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.134211, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.059745, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.238216, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.164555, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.003616, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.108894, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.121711, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.012059, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 197953400, "relative_activity": 2.743976, "balance": 3.012059, "dry_up": 1.474946, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.083962, "annualized_volatility": 0.535775, "from_high_reference": -0.072727, "from_low_reference": 0.457143 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.744779, "fair_value_reference": 10.042217, "structural_low": 5.25, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.050459, "positive_rate": 0.090909, "directional_follow_through": 0.090909, "median_excess_return": -0.058575, "regime_survival": 0.454545, "best_return": 0.007143, "worst_return": -0.205298, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.128014, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.143686, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.105042, "worst_return": -0.219298, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.159664, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.156059, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.041667, "worst_return": -0.273352, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"typical_volume": 61774977.55, "trend": 6.538976, "fair_value": 10.205594, "relative_strength": -4.689841, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.410768, "energy": 43.24521, "activity_lines": [ 6.996667, 6.9, 6.710714, 6.667027 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 7.45, "volume": 97557700, "typical_volume": 62337165.0, "trend": 6.596038, "fair_value": 10.167578, "relative_strength": -4.914992, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.786447, "energy": 62.388548, "activity_lines": [ 7.206667, 7.011818, 6.790476, 6.725803 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.05, "volume": 74687300, "typical_volume": 63280375.0, "trend": 6.635062, "fair_value": 10.123761, "relative_strength": -10.023458, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.547119, "energy": 56.842859, "activity_lines": [ 7.216667, 7.030909, 6.833571, 6.755091 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.4, "volume": 55418400, "typical_volume": 64532795.0, "trend": 6.682618, "fair_value": 10.082188, "relative_strength": -4.340311, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.058831, "energy": 59.92368, "activity_lines": [ 7.29, 7.103636, 6.907381, 6.804442 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.65, "volume": 197953400, "typical_volume": 72141085.0, "trend": 6.744779, "fair_value": 10.042217, "relative_strength": -0.361562, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.148007, "energy": 56.020696, "activity_lines": [ 7.42, 7.222727, 7.00119, 6.866854 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }