{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5b100dfd-1128-4f35-a972-4c9bf0c26703", "symbol": "BWEN", "name": "Broadwind Energy Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 46.222, "architecture_energy": 28.862, "architecture_maturity": 64.683, "architecture_confidence": 76.182, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.74, "rotation_up": 44.69, "upward_expansion": 70.96, "deceleration": 61.35, "rotation_down": 22.39, "downward_expansion": 9.63 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.523333, 4.527636, 4.130286, 3.701828 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 4.66, "trend_reference": 3.273667, "distance_from_trend": 0.42348, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2.586314, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.801792, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 40.334687, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 1.118182, "excess_performance": 0.930728, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.42348, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.187833, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.801792, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.959049, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.403347, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.65079, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.118182, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.599808, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5058216, "relative_activity": 1.465482, "balance": 3.599808, "dry_up": 0.995222, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.266484, "annualized_volatility": 1.265182, "from_high_reference": -0.155797, "from_low_reference": 1.478723 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.273667, "fair_value_reference": 2.586314, "structural_low": 1.895, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.126638, "positive_rate": 0.266667, "directional_follow_through": 0.266667, "median_excess_return": -0.102168, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.2021, "worst_return": -0.22956, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.271014, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.267588, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.067669, "worst_return": -0.428198, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.153571, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.0514, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.495356, "worst_return": -0.506527, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.366453, "energy": 56.326641, "activity_lines": [ 4.501333, 4.196182, 3.523905, 3.24957 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 4.42, "volume": 2024846, "typical_volume": 2929630.0, "trend": 3.084333, "fair_value": 2.561635, "relative_strength": 37.252109, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.615459, "energy": 47.64018, "activity_lines": [ 4.512, 4.297636, 3.654048, 3.338237 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 4.82, "volume": 2196860, "typical_volume": 3004770.9, "trend": 3.146, "fair_value": 2.567724, "relative_strength": 54.581018, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.520739, "energy": 44.850078, "activity_lines": [ 4.615333, 4.439091, 3.812714, 3.450215 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.83, "volume": 2144144, "typical_volume": 3087611.25, "trend": 3.203333, "fair_value": 2.574391, "relative_strength": 56.011625, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.510084, "energy": 43.024416, "activity_lines": [ 4.679333, 4.533636, 3.96119, 3.55886 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.0, "volume": 4341095, "typical_volume": 3234631.95, "trend": 3.240667, "fair_value": 2.577917, "relative_strength": 27.818325, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.34509, "energy": 32.23024, "activity_lines": [ 4.48, 4.471636, 4.018619, 3.610258 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.66, "volume": 5058216, "typical_volume": 3451571.2, "trend": 3.273667, "fair_value": 2.586314, "relative_strength": 40.334687, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.221881, "energy": 28.86192, "activity_lines": [ 4.523333, 4.527636, 4.130286, 3.701828 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }