{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5b1dd376-4eb3-4f12-9e39-aa1ea5812b67", "symbol": "300663", "name": "Client Service International, Inc.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -33.451, "architecture_energy": 32.78, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 83.644, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.12, "rotation_up": 36.9, "upward_expansion": 25.3, "deceleration": 44.17, "rotation_down": 25.37, "downward_expansion": 61.63 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.865333, 8.03, 8.448857, 9.816667 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 9.7, "trend_reference": 11.993, "distance_from_trend": -0.191195, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 14.836667, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.346214, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -36.66668, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.434072, "excess_performance": -0.441472, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.191195, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.214707, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.346214, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.002641, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.366667, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.165999, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.434072, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.976962, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 420098705, "relative_activity": 3.341816, "balance": 0.976962, "dry_up": 2.852979, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.12617, "annualized_volatility": 0.732272, "from_high_reference": -0.538095, "from_low_reference": 0.595395 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.993, "fair_value_reference": 14.836667, "structural_low": 6.08, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": 0.015312, "positive_rate": 0.535714, "directional_follow_through": 0.464286, "median_excess_return": 0.019068, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.580357, "worst_return": -0.244378, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.115858, "positive_rate": 0.727273, "directional_follow_through": 0.272727, "median_excess_return": 0.061746, "regime_survival": 0.363636, "best_return": 1.545161, "worst_return": -0.518762, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.013824, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.058522, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.989247, "worst_return": -0.575774, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"blue", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-04-04", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.078454, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.104377, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.083893, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.062434, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.062592, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.165432, "active": false }, { 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"volume": 484728561, "typical_volume": 106882275.35, "trend": 12.257667, "fair_value": 14.863013, "relative_strength": -28.287324, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.408718, "energy": 32.914, "activity_lines": [ 8.166667, 7.620727, 8.450143, 9.981677 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.7, "volume": 420098705, "typical_volume": 125709688.15, "trend": 11.993, "fair_value": 14.836667, "relative_strength": -36.66668, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.451092, "energy": 32.779637, "activity_lines": [ 8.865333, 8.03, 8.448857, 9.816667 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }