{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "5b2f5a0b-6728-4312-a352-ba3d63f83708",
    "symbol": "JBSS",
    "name": "John B Sanfilippo & Son Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 33.562,
    "architecture_energy": 18.556,
    "architecture_maturity": 48.734,
    "architecture_confidence": 85.976,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 43.97,
        "rotation_up": 27.87,
        "upward_expansion": 60.99,
        "deceleration": 88.11,
        "rotation_down": 29.87,
        "downward_expansion": 15.66
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        82.434667,
        83.180727,
        81.334097,
        80.346128
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 83.16,
    "trend_reference": 79.04949,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.051999,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 79.503626,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.04599,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -0.19449,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.078105,
    "excess_performance": -0.109348,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.051999,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.057487,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.04599,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.087583,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.001945,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.042888,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.078105,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.93527,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 684450,
      "relative_activity": 1.255627,
      "balance": 1.93527,
      "dry_up": 1.132107,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.065838,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.29377,
      "from_high_reference": -0.096872,
      "from_low_reference": 0.454881
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 79.04949,
      "fair_value_reference": 79.503626,
      "structural_low": 71.964187,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.003804,
        "positive_rate": 0.833333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.833333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.031331,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.106404,
        "worst_return": -0.077149,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.143635,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.059592,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.191835,
        "worst_return": -0.114206,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.205573,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.052976,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.460691,
        "worst_return": -0.049545,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.308683,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.239858,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.308683,
        "worst_return": 0.308683,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-01-19",
        "end": "2024-02-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.05387,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-02-16",
        "end": "2024-03-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.054906,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-03-29",
        "end": "2024-04-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.08091,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-04-19",
        "end": "2024-07-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.028763,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-07-12",
        "end": "2024-07-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.025062,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-07-26",
        "end": "2024-11-01",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.160727,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-11-08",
        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.211103,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-08-01",
        "end": "2025-11-14",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.105877,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-11-21",
        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.07375,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-04-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.063024,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-05-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.037472,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "end": "2026-06-26",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "end": "2026-07-31",
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        "return": -0.086534,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "fair_value": 80.578424,
        "relative_strength": -6.277277,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "relative_strength": 10.965894,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 484660.85,
        "trend": 77.529759,
        "fair_value": 79.904712,
        "relative_strength": 4.780569,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "energy": 76.295213,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 79.47,
        "volume": 590563,
        "typical_volume": 498931.4,
        "trend": 77.758365,
        "fair_value": 79.768039,
        "relative_strength": -0.367407,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.395669,
        "energy": 66.187971,
        "activity_lines": [
          84.667333,
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          80.49601,
          79.530737
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 81.19,
        "volume": 635366,
        "typical_volume": 515567.55,
        "trend": 78.118225,
        "fair_value": 79.667516,
        "relative_strength": 3.359941,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 54.134299,
        "energy": 40.319424,
        "activity_lines": [
          83.574,
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          79.752133
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 82.76,
        "volume": 558096,
        "typical_volume": 530940.5,
        "trend": 78.594853,
        "fair_value": 79.581379,
        "relative_strength": 4.578534,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 38.399805,
        "energy": 21.591376,
        "activity_lines": [
          82.794,
          82.898,
          81.013679,
          80.051603
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 83.16,
        "volume": 684450,
        "typical_volume": 545106.15,
        "trend": 79.04949,
        "fair_value": 79.503626,
        "relative_strength": -0.19449,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 33.562313,
        "energy": 18.55554,
        "activity_lines": [
          82.434667,
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          81.334097,
          80.346128
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}