{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5b302dd0-1f77-4ce8-b5dd-37de05e19d2b", "symbol": "IBIU", "name": "I.B.I.- Managing & Underwriting Ltd", "exchange": "TLV", "country": "IL", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "TA35.TA", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -68.941, "architecture_energy": 66.864, "architecture_maturity": 81.743, "architecture_confidence": 93.296, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 1.04, "rotation_up": 29.33, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 60.39, "rotation_down": 61.4, "downward_expansion": 90.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.33, 12.44, 425.369678, 672.320277 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 11.0, "trend_reference": 934.355432, "distance_from_trend": -0.988227, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 824.811667, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.986664, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -99.021476, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.991343, "excess_performance": -1.020244, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.988227, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.292427, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.986664, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.798873, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.990215, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.987099, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.991343, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.939116, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 214241, "relative_activity": 1.030578, "balance": 0.939116, "dry_up": 1.448713, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 17.3191, "annualized_volatility": 6.338366, "from_high_reference": -0.994314, "from_low_reference": 0.052632 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 934.355432, "fair_value_reference": 824.811667, "structural_low": 10.45, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": -0.01162, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.56, "median_excess_return": -0.026294, "regime_survival": 0.88, "best_return": 0.143591, "worst_return": -0.293264, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.058396, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.063261, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.103807, "worst_return": -0.373193, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.033958, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.102957, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.123099, "worst_return": -0.48434, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.940232, "energy": 88.010299, "activity_lines": [ 12.96, 203.746564, 678.243514, 866.883943 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 11.3, "volume": 309808, "typical_volume": 199966.9, "trend": 1016.568069, "fair_value": 832.907686, "relative_strength": -99.065971, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.6751, "energy": 68.493018, "activity_lines": [ 12.238667, 109.005664, 587.89895, 799.517214 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.06, "volume": 336595, "typical_volume": 211589.3, "trend": 977.044458, "fair_value": 828.845495, "relative_strength": -99.037561, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.309533, "energy": 67.671853, "activity_lines": [ 11.695333, 44.903455, 503.609504, 734.645726 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.0, "volume": 214241, "typical_volume": 207884.35, "trend": 934.355432, "fair_value": 824.811667, "relative_strength": -99.021476, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.940583, "energy": 66.863598, "activity_lines": [ 11.33, 12.44, 425.369678, 672.320277 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }