{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5b47395b-0adb-47d5-8f2b-8d9970ede0f8", "symbol": "QUEU", "name": "BNP Paribas Easy Quality Europe UCITS ETF Cap", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 76.843, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 78.526, "architecture_energy": 53.64, "architecture_maturity": 48.483, "architecture_confidence": 71.84, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.11, "rotation_up": 50.92, "upward_expansion": 78.7, "deceleration": 61.86, "rotation_down": 26.58, "downward_expansion": 7.7 }, "activity_lines": [ 206.539998, 206.11, 203.642191, 201.188645 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 210.149994, "trend_reference": 198.679999, "distance_from_trend": 0.057731, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 174.612564, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.203522, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.485508, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.071756, "excess_performance": 0.007117, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.057731, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.034619, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.203522, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.037547, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.014855, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.047318, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.071756, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.573743, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7, "relative_activity": 0.02889, "balance": 0.573743, "dry_up": 0.600495, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.018038, "annualized_volatility": 0.152765, "from_high_reference": -0.0019, "from_low_reference": 0.228516 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 198.679999, "fair_value_reference": 174.612564, "structural_low": 179.960007, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 37, "median_return": 0.00371, "positive_rate": 0.540541, "directional_follow_through": 0.540541, "median_excess_return": -0.002662, "regime_survival": 0.702703, "best_return": 0.075025, "worst_return": -0.092178, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.003745, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.012216, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.100851, "worst_return": -0.091497, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.044678, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.013161, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.13677, "worst_return": -0.182829, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"volume": 27, "typical_volume": 301.45, "trend": 197.622, "fair_value": 173.89641, "relative_strength": 3.875108, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.947958, "energy": 46.366579, "activity_lines": [ 205.153339, 204.873639, 202.004239, 199.928366 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 205.149994, "volume": 49, "typical_volume": 265.1, "trend": 198.143666, "fair_value": 174.242115, "relative_strength": 1.942203, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.307654, "energy": 36.124594, "activity_lines": [ 205.040001, 205.082729, 202.619858, 200.414043 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 210.149994, "volume": 7, "typical_volume": 242.3, "trend": 198.679999, "fair_value": 174.612564, "relative_strength": 1.485508, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.52609, "energy": 53.640353, "activity_lines": [ 206.539998, 206.11, 203.642191, 201.188645 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }