{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5b5f4b45-4126-4dd3-aa63-b511b0c2bf4b", "symbol": "300593", "name": "Beijing Relpow Technology Co., Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 50.221, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -58.27, "architecture_energy": 51.896, "architecture_maturity": 4.496, "architecture_confidence": 60.403, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 34.65, "rotation_up": 9.76, "upward_expansion": 8.78, "deceleration": 41.49, "rotation_down": 69.68, "downward_expansion": 84.45 }, "activity_lines": [ 25.247334, 26.702364, 28.559905, 28.607075 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 28.120001, "trend_reference": 29.025667, "distance_from_trend": -0.031202, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 17.301768, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.625268, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 5.085304, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.022253, "excess_performance": -0.029653, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.031202, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.033101, "read": "Rising" 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19.559999, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": -0.052063, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": -0.026294, "regime_survival": 0.863636, "best_return": 0.276623, "worst_return": -0.207921, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.076499, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.069953, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.427772, "worst_return": -0.375, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.069456, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.016089, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.791713, "worst_return": -0.458615, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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-0.981185, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -6.443767, "energy": 14.232973, "activity_lines": [ 29.345333, 31.094546, 30.218524, 29.858559 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 22.059999, "volume": 134172077, "typical_volume": 103632582.05, "trend": 29.327667, "fair_value": 17.197499, "relative_strength": -12.757385, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -39.799247, "energy": 39.709063, "activity_lines": [ 26.4, 29.376, 29.514, 29.380774 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 23.700001, "volume": 133381476, "typical_volume": 105116046.1, "trend": 29.284333, "fair_value": 17.214262, "relative_strength": -7.230657, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.462601, "energy": 52.099843, "activity_lines": [ 24.774, 28.086364, 29.022286, 29.017699 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 23.879999, "volume": 156939629, "typical_volume": 108840009.15, "trend": 29.080333, "fair_value": 17.240935, "relative_strength": -5.511113, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.9572, "energy": 66.03798, "activity_lines": [ 24.098, 26.923091, 28.581524, 28.669032 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 28.120001, "volume": 175728732, "typical_volume": 114243542.7, "trend": 29.025667, "fair_value": 17.301768, "relative_strength": 5.085304, "stage": 2, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.2702, "energy": 51.89647, "activity_lines": [ 25.247334, 26.702364, 28.559905, 28.607075 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }