{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5b656cd8-43a2-4474-8b9c-c81e52116a78", "symbol": "ABTS", "name": "Abits Group Inc.", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 93.577, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -48.271, "architecture_energy": 28.764, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 68.219, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.69, "rotation_up": 27.06, "upward_expansion": 7.45, "deceleration": 59.69, "rotation_down": 38.09, "downward_expansion": 69.45 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.200667, 1.207091, 1.212335, 1.447904 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 1.38, "trend_reference": 2.002717, "distance_from_trend": -0.310936, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.410528, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.813778, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -68.342864, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.55627, "excess_performance": -0.743724, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.310936, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.420211, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.813778, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.058674, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.683429, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.114949, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.55627, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 24.548366, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5171203, "relative_activity": 0.646073, "balance": 24.548366, "dry_up": 0.170926, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.331243, "annualized_volatility": 1.715333, "from_high_reference": -0.872874, "from_low_reference": 0.815789 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.002717, "fair_value_reference": 7.410528, "structural_low": 0.76, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 36, "median_return": -0.040484, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": -0.077254, "regime_survival": 0.805556, "best_return": 1.330508, "worst_return": -0.440085, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.173192, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.187142, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.1, "worst_return": -0.769437, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.261333, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.154125, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 1.560034, "worst_return": -0.762542, "sufficient": true }, { 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"down", "direction": -55.045886, "energy": 40.782298, "activity_lines": [ 1.195333, 1.229025, 1.310459, 1.750949 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.19, "volume": 78925, "typical_volume": 7749529.35, "trend": 2.426383, "fair_value": 7.743604, "relative_strength": -73.049067, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.987087, "energy": 38.988261, "activity_lines": [ 1.189333, 1.228816, 1.275738, 1.662322 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.14, "volume": 111533, "typical_volume": 7746891.65, "trend": 2.287383, "fair_value": 7.651874, "relative_strength": -73.23402, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.409815, "energy": 38.586789, "activity_lines": [ 1.178, 1.217698, 1.24273, 1.57933 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.02, "volume": 110754, "typical_volume": 7746924.4, "trend": 2.149717, "fair_value": 7.532451, "relative_strength": -75.804202, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.157017, "energy": 39.844985, "activity_lines": [ 1.124, 1.181122, 1.206247, 1.497563 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.38, "volume": 5171203, "typical_volume": 8004057.35, "trend": 2.002717, "fair_value": 7.410528, "relative_strength": -68.342864, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.271116, "energy": 28.763892, "activity_lines": [ 1.200667, 1.207091, 1.212335, 1.447904 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }