{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5b6a8c48-2b9b-494e-a13a-fe2710c06239", "symbol": "600660", "name": "Fuyao Glass Industry Group Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -14.872, "architecture_energy": 26.871, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 47.718, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 47.99, "rotation_up": 46.34, "upward_expansion": 27.32, "deceleration": 41.29, "rotation_down": 18.36, "downward_expansion": 49.99 }, "activity_lines": [ 56.090667, 54.237819, 54.277969, 55.033765 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 55.400002, "trend_reference": 56.322415, "distance_from_trend": -0.016377, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 50.401092, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.099183, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -6.55351, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.084203, "excess_performance": -0.040999, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.016377, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.056876, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.099183, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.112093, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.065535, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.040774, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.084203, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.657877, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 65085158, "relative_activity": 1.160745, "balance": 0.657877, "dry_up": 1.302567, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.057843, "annualized_volatility": 0.235463, "from_high_reference": -0.232035, "from_low_reference": 0.158996 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 56.322415, "fair_value_reference": 50.401092, "structural_low": 47.799999, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": 0.005099, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.003169, "regime_survival": 0.722222, "best_return": 0.193302, "worst_return": -0.133974, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.032466, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.021031, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.162155, "worst_return": -0.073124, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.010345, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.033589, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.232448, "worst_return": -0.312766, 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"relative_strength": -3.070167, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -32.417839, "energy": 20.94747, "activity_lines": [ 53.235333, 52.501273, 53.772649, 54.915903 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 59.700001, "volume": 85799927, "typical_volume": 58409581.85, "trend": 56.591169, "fair_value": 50.257273, "relative_strength": 3.418045, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 3.750156, "energy": 20.007738, "activity_lines": [ 55.688667, 53.800727, 54.233383, 55.110615 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 55.400002, "volume": 65085158, "typical_volume": 56071896.75, "trend": 56.322415, "fair_value": 50.401092, "relative_strength": -6.55351, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -14.871934, "energy": 26.871487, "activity_lines": [ 56.090667, 54.237819, 54.277969, 55.033765 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }