{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5b79d50e-aef1-4fb5-8479-7f79e44a851f", "symbol": "ALSEN", "name": "Sensorion SA", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -45.807, "architecture_energy": 40.171, "architecture_maturity": 64.772, "architecture_confidence": 85.375, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.54, "rotation_up": 27.08, "upward_expansion": 18.97, "deceleration": 45.9, "rotation_down": 34.6, "downward_expansion": 64.31 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.277567, 0.270527, 0.306843, 0.336183 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.289, "trend_reference": 0.355933, "distance_from_trend": -0.18805, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.515819, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.439726, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -22.384069, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.058632, "excess_performance": -0.111943, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.18805, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.048731, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.439726, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.271899, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.223841, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.403446, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.058632, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.905757, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4176734, "relative_activity": 0.570995, "balance": 0.905757, "dry_up": 0.723373, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.14626, "annualized_volatility": 1.280247, "from_high_reference": -0.642327, "from_low_reference": 0.301802 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.355933, "fair_value_reference": 0.515819, "structural_low": 0.222, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 31, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.451613, "directional_follow_through": 0.483871, "median_excess_return": -0.018974, "regime_survival": 0.83871, "best_return": 1.011765, "worst_return": -0.5962, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.028346, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": -0.030511, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 1.045317, "worst_return": -0.561582, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.104946, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.192813, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": -0.002695, "worst_return": -0.60553, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"2026-07-24", "close": 0.2715, "volume": 3535348, "typical_volume": 10096668.7, "trend": 0.358967, "fair_value": 0.516754, "relative_strength": -24.713167, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.641196, "energy": 69.522821, "activity_lines": [ 0.262133, 0.2731, 0.321533, 0.345611 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.281, "volume": 10569628, "typical_volume": 8532460.6, "trend": 0.357167, "fair_value": 0.516338, "relative_strength": -22.968273, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.802286, "energy": 46.57871, "activity_lines": [ 0.270067, 0.270036, 0.312905, 0.340581 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.289, "volume": 4176734, "typical_volume": 7314838.9, "trend": 0.355933, "fair_value": 0.515819, "relative_strength": -22.384069, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.806941, "energy": 40.170761, "activity_lines": [ 0.277567, 0.270527, 0.306843, 0.336183 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }