{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5b8e2a2b-eda3-48e4-ab70-613d7e3c8b4b", "symbol": "BLBLIMITED", "name": "BLB Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 48.184, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -18.084, "architecture_energy": 15.409, "architecture_maturity": 4.172, "architecture_confidence": 57.907, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.15, "rotation_up": 28.45, "upward_expansion": 11.16, "deceleration": 50.52, "rotation_down": 39.76, "downward_expansion": 45.83 }, "activity_lines": [ 15.774, 15.848, 16.091524, 16.217183 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 15.95, "trend_reference": 16.086, "distance_from_trend": -0.008455, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 19.446987, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.179822, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 0.913427, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.144189, "excess_performance": 0.187898, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.008455, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.0141, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.179822, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.034462, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.009134, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.099512, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.144189, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.378468, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 233132, "relative_activity": 0.889917, "balance": 0.378468, "dry_up": 0.732968, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.086279, "annualized_volatility": 0.639871, "from_high_reference": -0.290165, "from_low_reference": 0.329167 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 16.086, "fair_value_reference": 19.446987, "structural_low": 13.86, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.019868, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": -0.017736, "regime_survival": 0.454545, "best_return": 0.388262, "worst_return": -0.349896, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.048191, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.020485, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.703872, "worst_return": -0.225794, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.035378, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.133865, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 1.450262, "worst_return": -0.121413, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"color": "blue", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.088818, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-11-14", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.09693, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2025-12-26", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.064214, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-01-02", "end": "2026-01-09", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.005797, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-01-16", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.067416, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-02-20", "end": "2026-03-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.231445, "active": false 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"volume": 151501, "typical_volume": 317434.35, "trend": 15.955, "fair_value": 19.488974, "relative_strength": 2.600156, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -20.808746, "energy": 11.112513, "activity_lines": [ 15.87, 15.977091, 16.203333, 16.250516 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 15.5, "volume": 207278, "typical_volume": 284515.55, "trend": 16.011667, "fair_value": 19.46718, "relative_strength": -1.310297, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -24.667248, "energy": 17.873775, "activity_lines": [ 15.775333, 15.870364, 16.122952, 16.221161 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 15.95, "volume": 233132, "typical_volume": 261970.6, "trend": 16.086, "fair_value": 19.446987, "relative_strength": 0.913427, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -18.083956, "energy": 15.409071, "activity_lines": [ 15.774, 15.848, 16.091524, 16.217183 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }