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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 87.536, "architecture_energy": 82.331, "architecture_maturity": 44.81, "architecture_confidence": 88.85, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.29, "rotation_up": 70.45, "upward_expansion": 93.11, "deceleration": 45.3, "rotation_down": 20.39, "downward_expansion": 17.44 }, "activity_lines": [ 4861.85765, 4799.355185, 4669.502737, 4565.593801 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 5014.0, "trend_reference": 4403.418156, "distance_from_trend": 0.138661, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2563.941481, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.955583, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 21.949537, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.376941, "excess_performance": 0.431607, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.138661, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.087521, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.955583, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.129773, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.219495, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.080379, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.376941, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.687263, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 254, "relative_activity": 0.183945, "balance": 0.687263, "dry_up": 0.388348, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.028156, "annualized_volatility": 0.344543, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.558251 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4403.418156, "fair_value_reference": 2563.941481, "structural_low": 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"relative_strength": 21.949537, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.536094, "energy": 82.331391, "activity_lines": [ 4861.85765, 4799.355185, 4669.502737, 4565.593801 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }