{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5b9e4dbe-79f8-4503-bfb8-abd65a85f300", "symbol": "CI", "name": "Cell Impact AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -72.727, "architecture_energy": 82.923, "architecture_maturity": 36.0, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 1.38, "rotation_up": 16.98, "upward_expansion": 20.27, "deceleration": 37.54, "rotation_down": 73.02, "downward_expansion": 98.27 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.062067, 0.071624, 0.104417, 0.117478 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.0565, "trend_reference": 0.134942, "distance_from_trend": -0.581303, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.037696, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.945552, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -73.029862, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.602113, "excess_performance": -0.663607, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.581303, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.335845, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.945552, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.06405, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.730299, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.616781, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.602113, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.038543, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 34693849, "relative_activity": 2.915354, "balance": 0.038543, "dry_up": 1.030517, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.474361, "annualized_volatility": 0.892438, "from_high_reference": -0.911719, "from_low_reference": 0.060396 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.134942, "fair_value_reference": 1.037696, "structural_low": 0.053282, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 50, "median_return": -0.098536, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": -0.120759, "regime_survival": 0.88, "best_return": 2.182461, "worst_return": -0.6592, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.305301, "positive_rate": 0.1875, "directional_follow_through": 0.8125, "median_excess_return": -0.322847, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 1.807947, "worst_return": -0.753897, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.478817, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.504234, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.637331, "worst_return": -0.825607, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"fair_value": 1.282178, "relative_strength": -67.490901, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.71922, "energy": 78.261679, "activity_lines": [ 0.0823, 0.104222, 0.131472, 0.138783 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.0672, "volume": 2851815, "typical_volume": 10656490.45, "trend": 0.146629, "fair_value": 1.223316, "relative_strength": -67.911385, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.869075, "energy": 79.217542, "activity_lines": [ 0.07428, 0.093398, 0.124645, 0.13327 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.068, "volume": 5189432, "typical_volume": 10674323.7, "trend": 0.143062, "fair_value": 1.157414, "relative_strength": -67.415081, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.936952, "energy": 81.547206, "activity_lines": [ 0.070713, 0.085535, 0.118216, 0.128197 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.0599, "volume": 6319102, "typical_volume": 10453413.6, "trend": 0.139492, "fair_value": 1.093104, "relative_strength": -71.269092, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.73683, "energy": 85.760223, "activity_lines": [ 0.06606, 0.078035, 0.11133, 0.122832 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.0565, "volume": 34693849, "typical_volume": 11900388.7, "trend": 0.134942, "fair_value": 1.037696, "relative_strength": -73.029862, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.726665, "energy": 82.922778, "activity_lines": [ 0.062067, 0.071624, 0.104417, 0.117478 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }