{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5b9f590b-7083-4813-adb4-1ffb71637811", "symbol": "BBSE3", "name": "BB Seguridade Participa\u00e7\u00f5es S.A.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 62.558, "architecture_energy": 53.102, "architecture_maturity": 32.391, "architecture_confidence": 83.103, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.07, "rotation_up": 60.47, "upward_expansion": 81.45, "deceleration": 64.81, "rotation_down": 19.35, "downward_expansion": 8.12 }, "activity_lines": [ 38.936407, 38.648931, 37.433292, 36.682756 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 38.380001, "trend_reference": 35.767096, "distance_from_trend": 0.073053, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 30.247235, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.268876, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 9.565031, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.107335, "excess_performance": 0.164384, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.073053, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.059055, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.268876, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.079449, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.09565, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.188089, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.107335, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.582747, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 37039400, "relative_activity": 1.858887, "balance": 1.582747, "dry_up": 1.416864, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.03946, "annualized_volatility": 0.197643, "from_high_reference": -0.058522, "from_low_reference": 0.30752 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 35.767096, "fair_value_reference": 30.247235, "structural_low": 33.02, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 35, "median_return": 0.010667, "positive_rate": 0.628571, "directional_follow_through": 0.628571, "median_excess_return": 0.023414, "regime_survival": 0.771429, "best_return": 0.120823, "worst_return": -0.07241, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.04563, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": 0.064979, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.241843, "worst_return": -0.130312, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.135715, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.0992, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.314175, "worst_return": -0.115313, "sufficient": true }, { 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"stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.404377, "energy": 61.511637, "activity_lines": [ 38.789133, 38.255112, 36.93595, 36.250841 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 39.262189, "volume": 20959900, "typical_volume": 19257800.0, "trend": 35.573576, "fair_value": 30.153263, "relative_strength": 8.622301, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.885763, "energy": 60.510043, "activity_lines": [ 39.012874, 38.575786, 37.236659, 36.501697 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 38.380001, "volume": 37039400, "typical_volume": 19925575.0, "trend": 35.767096, "fair_value": 30.247235, "relative_strength": 9.565031, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.55837, "energy": 53.102355, "activity_lines": [ 38.936407, 38.648931, 37.433292, 36.682756 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }