{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5bad4cf0-6af8-40de-ab08-5675f6862e59", "symbol": "SLF", "name": "Sun Life Financial Inc.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 67.925, "architecture_energy": 67.338, "architecture_maturity": 65.314, "architecture_confidence": 95.47, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 4.89, "rotation_up": 62.92, "upward_expansion": 87.67, "deceleration": 62.14, "rotation_down": 25.57, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 115.143333, 113.670545, 108.298201, 103.508126 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 114.25, "trend_reference": 97.662073, "distance_from_trend": 0.16985, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 76.715842, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.489262, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 12.614271, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.309739, "excess_performance": 0.189318, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.16985, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.112481, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.489262, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.181874, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.126143, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.126328, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.309739, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.150684, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 11408700, "relative_activity": 1.694509, "balance": 2.150684, "dry_up": 1.20097, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.031655, "annualized_volatility": 0.174234, "from_high_reference": -0.039835, "from_low_reference": 0.526165 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 97.662073, "fair_value_reference": 76.715842, "structural_low": 84.190638, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 33, "median_return": 0.005675, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.003572, "regime_survival": 0.757576, "best_return": 0.094098, "worst_return": -0.084118, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.026567, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.001784, "regime_survival": 0.642857, "best_return": 0.198232, "worst_return": -0.08133, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.047381, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": 0.014183, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.321077, "worst_return": -0.06873, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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91.741221, "activity_lines": [ 111.694667, 108.051943, 102.204871, 98.292937 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 114.739998, "volume": 6166000, "typical_volume": 7292915.0, "trend": 94.577015, "fair_value": 75.658289, "relative_strength": 17.563479, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.638723, "energy": 91.858284, "activity_lines": [ 113.061999, 109.857164, 103.871289, 99.66164 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 116.0, "volume": 5853700, "typical_volume": 6798855.0, "trend": 95.652953, "fair_value": 76.009393, "relative_strength": 18.259432, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.536501, "energy": 88.822185, "activity_lines": [ 114.336, 111.531427, 105.532987, 101.043768 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 116.309998, "volume": 8914900, "typical_volume": 6571525.0, "trend": 96.709491, "fair_value": 76.365922, "relative_strength": 18.773308, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.296398, "energy": 72.664495, "activity_lines": [ 115.275332, 112.936363, 107.087452, 102.37648 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 114.25, "volume": 11408700, "typical_volume": 6732745.0, "trend": 97.662073, "fair_value": 76.715842, "relative_strength": 12.614271, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.924705, "energy": 67.338031, "activity_lines": [ 115.143333, 113.670545, 108.298201, 103.508126 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }