{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5bb31b6b-6411-408b-8e25-f6d1bc3e74bc", "symbol": "HHS", "name": "Harte Hanks Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -55.916, "architecture_energy": 34.225, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 84.867, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.97, "rotation_up": 22.44, "upward_expansion": 3.94, "deceleration": 56.54, "rotation_down": 45.45, "downward_expansion": 74.94 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.313, 2.326211, 2.431583, 2.502131 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 2.28, "trend_reference": 2.621157, "distance_from_trend": -0.130155, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.195741, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.561179, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -33.050794, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.221843, "excess_performance": -0.409297, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.130155, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.091387, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.561179, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.077099, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.330508, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.026398, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.221843, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.998277, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 66807, "relative_activity": 1.87927, "balance": 0.998277, "dry_up": 0.789056, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.114767, "annualized_volatility": 0.49183, "from_high_reference": -0.472222, "from_low_reference": 0.14 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.621157, "fair_value_reference": 5.195741, "structural_low": 2.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": -0.045721, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.039469, "regime_survival": 0.933333, "best_return": 0.164557, "worst_return": -0.339839, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.175175, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": -0.206766, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.431968, "worst_return": -0.357895, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.345263, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.304437, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.981506, "worst_return": -0.387168, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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"red", "start": "2023-03-17", "end": "2023-09-01", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.324211, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2023-09-08", "end": "2023-11-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.112903, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2023-11-17", "end": "2024-03-22", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.067989, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-03-29", "end": "2024-04-19", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.065508, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-04-26", "end": "2024-05-17", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.06014, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-05-24", "end": "2024-06-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.098782, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-07-05", "end": "2024-08-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.155963, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-08-23", "end": "2024-09-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.029178, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-10-04", "end": "2024-11-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.04058, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-11-08", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.673352, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 5.72, "volume": 195506, "typical_volume": 199011.55, "trend": 7.6595, "fair_value": 7.330948, "relative_strength": -49.560212, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 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"fair_value": 5.262408, "relative_strength": -28.101454, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.654629, "energy": 52.206336, "activity_lines": [ 2.362, 2.399709, 2.50337, 2.576896 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.39, "volume": 11168, "typical_volume": 33538.15, "trend": 2.67229, "fair_value": 5.241126, "relative_strength": -27.692614, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.854402, "energy": 32.751063, "activity_lines": [ 2.382333, 2.386422, 2.487108, 2.556684 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.19, "volume": 23104, "typical_volume": 33901.3, "trend": 2.64329, "fair_value": 5.2176, "relative_strength": -33.310128, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.555021, "energy": 37.442515, "activity_lines": [ 2.336667, 2.344225, 2.453655, 2.525569 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.28, "volume": 66807, "typical_volume": 35549.45, "trend": 2.621157, "fair_value": 5.195741, "relative_strength": -33.050794, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.91604, "energy": 34.224748, "activity_lines": [ 2.313, 2.326211, 2.431583, 2.502131 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }