{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5bb751db-1e1f-40e5-bc05-a8ae90037a0e", "symbol": "1449", "name": "Chia Her Industrial Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -25.098, "architecture_energy": 38.196, "architecture_maturity": 9.565, "architecture_confidence": 71.677, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.78, "rotation_up": 14.78, "upward_expansion": 19.92, "deceleration": 54.6, "rotation_down": 66.4, "downward_expansion": 49.58 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.38, 12.915455, 13.17381, 13.046237 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 12.15, "trend_reference": 12.716667, "distance_from_trend": -0.044561, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 15.224824, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.201961, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -27.757504, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.089686, "excess_performance": -0.351686, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.044561, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.074315, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.201961, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.003919, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.277575, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.021784, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.089686, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.544874, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1485043, "relative_activity": 0.155821, "balance": 2.544874, "dry_up": 0.207635, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.099082, "annualized_volatility": 0.592083, "from_high_reference": -0.28739, "from_low_reference": 0.227273 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.716667, "fair_value_reference": 15.224824, "structural_low": 10.1, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.035874, "positive_rate": 0.222222, "directional_follow_through": 0.222222, "median_excess_return": -0.022622, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.552023, "worst_return": -0.130031, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.021375, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.096402, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.284312, "worst_return": -0.120517, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.061439, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.063144, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.20464, "worst_return": -0.124668, "sufficient": 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"up", "direction": 55.573063, "energy": 47.938009, "activity_lines": [ 14.126667, 13.828182, 13.525, 13.074516 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 13.05, "volume": 2923553, "typical_volume": 11323897.3, "trend": 12.556667, "fair_value": 15.320207, "relative_strength": -20.887762, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.153041, "energy": 26.533646, "activity_lines": [ 13.756667, 13.743636, 13.521667, 13.11086 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.7, "volume": 2395809, "typical_volume": 11274583.05, "trend": 12.615, "fair_value": 15.299756, "relative_strength": -23.805066, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 23.005741, "energy": 11.435046, "activity_lines": [ 13.356667, 13.593636, 13.474524, 13.120108 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.1, "volume": 2307561, "typical_volume": 11211663.1, "trend": 12.641667, "fair_value": 15.274078, "relative_strength": -25.534433, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": -3.048295, "energy": 14.366128, "activity_lines": [ 12.846667, 13.329091, 13.36119, 13.086882 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.55, "volume": 1727027, "typical_volume": 9923659.6, "trend": 12.688333, "fair_value": 15.253494, "relative_strength": -23.683045, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -15.590795, "energy": 23.154485, "activity_lines": [ 12.613333, 13.156364, 13.284286, 13.080968 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 12.15, "volume": 1485043, "typical_volume": 9530452.75, "trend": 12.716667, "fair_value": 15.224824, "relative_strength": -27.757504, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -25.098024, "energy": 38.196092, "activity_lines": [ 12.38, 12.915455, 13.17381, 13.046237 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }