{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5bbe8403-426f-4260-af71-1b220387af33", "symbol": "ENTX", "name": "Entera Bio Ltd", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "model_version": "ta-0.1.0", "as_of_week": "2026-07-31", "benchmark": "SPY", "history_weeks": 344, "chart_window_weeks": 156, "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "stage_color": "blue", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "stage_age_weeks": 6, "hard_stage_exit": false, "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "transition_score": 63.691, "is_transition_watch": false, "confidence": 66.666, "composite_score": 78.836, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_color": "green", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 91.659, "architecture_energy": 86.292, "architecture_maturity": 22.0, "architecture_confidence": 76.941, "architecture_age_weeks": 1, "is_reacceleration_watch": false, "architecture": { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 91.659, "energy": 86.292, "maturity": 22.0, "confidence": 76.941, "confirmation": 100.0, "age_weeks": 1, "candidate": null, "candidate_weeks": 0, "hard_reversal": false, "reacceleration_watch": false, "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Activity Lines are positively ordered above the 30-week Trend Line, with rising slopes and price acceptance. Fan expansion measures the energy of the move; contraction inside this regime warns that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.95, "rotation_up": 86.11, "upward_expansion": 96.1, "deceleration": 39.09, "rotation_down": 8.53, "downward_expansion": 18.1 }, "activity_lines": { "5": 2.270667, "10": 1.929545, "20": 1.629452, "30": 1.517667 }, "activity_slopes": { "5": 1.624618, "10": 1.12139, "20": 0.665097, "30": 0.411792 }, "bullish_order": 1.0, "bearish_order": 0.0, "fan_width_atr": 1.533004, "fan_width_change_4": 0.971764, "fan_width_percentile": 0.980769, "fast_slow_gap_atr": 1.071976, "fast_slow_gap_change_4": 0.83456, "price_acceptance": 1.0, "current_fan_distance_atr": 1.464464, "accepted_above": 1.0, "accepted_below": 0.0, "crossing_density": 0.5 }, "interpretation": { "headline": "Price is building a base around a flattening 30-week trend.", "body": "The job of Stage 1 is repair: declining pressure must fade, relative strength must improve, and resistance must be absorbed before an advance is confirmed.", "phase": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "Base still building", "transition_context": "The evidence score for the next canonical transition is 64/100." }, "latest_close": 2.99, "sma_30": 1.433167, "distance_from_sma_30": 1.086289, "sma_30_slope": -0.12789, "fair_value": 1.661007, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.800113, "fair_value_gap_change_13": 1.112053, "is_fair_value_repair": false, "mansfield_rs": 56.943455, "mansfield_rs_change_13": 102.879884, "range_position_52": 0.632218, "returns": { "13": 1.718182, "26": 1.182482, "52": 0.533333 }, "relative_returns": { "26": 1.097161, "52": 0.318499 }, "stage_scores": { "1": 29.54, "2": 44.0, "3": 40.52, "4": 21.86 }, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs 30-week average", "positive": true, "value": 1.086289, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "30-week slope", "positive": false, "value": -0.12789, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.800113, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "13-week Fair Value gap", "positive": true, "value": 1.112053, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Mansfield RS vs SPY", "positive": true, "value": 0.569435, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "13-week RS change", "positive": true, "value": 1.028799, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "26-week price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.182482, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "13-week volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 58.994199, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 91844063, "ratio_20": 11.317048, "up_down_ratio_13": 58.994199, "dry_up_ratio": 2.937813, "accumulation_weeks": 2, "distribution_weeks": 0 }, "base": { "high_26": 2.7799, "low_26": 0.91001, "depth": 0.672646, "compression": 0.927054, "breakout_distance": 0.075578 }, "risk": { "atr_percent": 0.164278, "annualized_volatility": 1.087565, "drawdown_from_52_high": -0.288095, "advance_from_52_low": 2.285678 }, "levels": { "breakout_reference": 2.7799, "trend_reference": 1.433167, 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"activity_10": 1.929545, "activity_20": 1.629452, "activity_30": 1.517667 } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed weekly OHLCV", "trend": "30-week simple moving average; slope compares the current value with ten completed weeks earlier", "fair_value": "current horizontal Fair Value is the arithmetic mean of up to 156 completed weekly closes; Stage 1 repair measures whether price is below and rising toward that anchor", "relative_strength": "Mansfield-style relative performance line: ticker/SPY divided by its trailing 52-week mean, minus one", "classification": "Trend Architecture uses the Activity Line position as a direction gate, then classifies ordering, four-week slopes, ATR-normalized fan width, fast/slow rotation and six-week price acceptance. Ordinary regime changes require two completed observations; a fully aligned reversal beyond the fan can change immediately.", "architecture_boundary": "The green/red/orange Trend gate is derived from the same Activity Lines and is therefore not counted as an independent vote. Relative strength and volume alter confirmation, while point-in-time Fair Value supplies context rather than determining the regime.", "admissibility": "Stage 2 cannot persist when price is more than 5% below the 30-week average or 8% below current Fair Value, the ten-week average slope is below -2%, Mansfield RS is below -8, or the 26-week return is below -15%. Stage 4 requires price no more than 5% above the average, RS no higher than +8, and at least one deterioration test: slope at or below +1.5%, 13-week return at or below -10%, or 26-week return at or below -12%. These are exit boundaries, not entry signals.", "confidence": "separation between the leading and runner-up stage evidence scores; not forecast probability" }, "historical_outcomes": [ { "weeks": 4, "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.006446, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.002722, "stage_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.544444, "worst_return": -0.336207, "sufficient": true }, { "weeks": 13, "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.095794, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.104852, "stage_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.733945, "worst_return": -0.138745, "sufficient": false }, { "weeks": 26, "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.091398, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.018493, "stage_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.743119, "worst_return": -0.337931, "sufficient": false }, { "weeks": 52, "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 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