{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5bbfc34d-8002-436b-b14a-d6a629bc2e88", "symbol": "LQDT", "name": "Liquidity Services Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 80.776, "architecture_energy": 55.973, "architecture_maturity": 64.406, "architecture_confidence": 90.421, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.43, "rotation_up": 63.17, "upward_expansion": 83.11, "deceleration": 62.64, "rotation_down": 21.79, "downward_expansion": 7.44 }, "activity_lines": [ 39.796, 39.226909, 37.798905, 36.292086 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 42.06, "trend_reference": 34.538167, "distance_from_trend": 0.217783, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 25.748622, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.633485, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 17.780261, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.293756, "excess_performance": 0.106302, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.217783, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.104874, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.633485, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.1229, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.177803, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.099732, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.293756, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.413317, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1527990, "relative_activity": 1.718515, "balance": 2.413317, "dry_up": 1.239192, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.061072, "annualized_volatility": 0.319155, "from_high_reference": -0.040164, "from_low_reference": 0.940932 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 34.538167, "fair_value_reference": 25.748622, "structural_low": 27.89, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": 0.01845, "positive_rate": 0.592593, "directional_follow_through": 0.592593, "median_excess_return": 0.007009, "regime_survival": 0.814815, "best_return": 0.254204, "worst_return": -0.14656, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.04924, "positive_rate": 0.7, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": -0.010911, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.588025, "worst_return": -0.173138, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.102253, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.075722, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.622642, "worst_return": -0.324089, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.293461, "energy": 65.739664, "activity_lines": [ 38.628667, 37.767636, 36.058, 34.806 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 39.52, "volume": 1306039, "typical_volume": 888449.05, "trend": 33.652833, "fair_value": 25.324391, "relative_strength": 16.956133, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.78795, "energy": 59.146917, "activity_lines": [ 38.983333, 38.238545, 36.546381, 35.201688 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 37.56, "volume": 780846, "typical_volume": 889976.95, "trend": 33.8665, "fair_value": 25.45875, "relative_strength": 12.474923, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.719828, "energy": 48.232203, "activity_lines": [ 38.579333, 38.292545, 36.810429, 35.453763 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 38.98, "volume": 792356, "typical_volume": 884281.45, "trend": 34.1795, "fair_value": 25.593237, "relative_strength": 15.447387, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.062509, "energy": 47.013565, "activity_lines": [ 38.670667, 38.521091, 37.183095, 35.783667 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 42.06, "volume": 1527990, "typical_volume": 889134.15, "trend": 34.538167, "fair_value": 25.748622, "relative_strength": 17.780261, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.775894, "energy": 55.972851, "activity_lines": [ 39.796, 39.226909, 37.798905, 36.292086 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }