{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5bc350ee-4958-4668-83f0-185dd6347db3", "symbol": "601010", "name": "Wenfeng Great World Chain Development Corporation", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -69.45, "architecture_energy": 59.515, "architecture_maturity": 88.393, "architecture_confidence": 95.775, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.47, "rotation_up": 26.42, "upward_expansion": 9.96, "deceleration": 59.19, "rotation_down": 55.79, "downward_expansion": 83.3 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.458, 1.497273, 1.635619, 1.812108 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 1.41, "trend_reference": 2.067, "distance_from_trend": -0.317852, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.317683, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.391634, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -39.993662, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.465909, "excess_performance": -0.422705, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.317852, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.174301, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.391634, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.231735, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.399937, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.086879, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.465909, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.559782, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 96520250, "relative_activity": 0.597218, "balance": 0.559782, "dry_up": 1.046982, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.13748, "annualized_volatility": 0.503991, "from_high_reference": -0.560748, "from_low_reference": 0.137097 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.067, "fair_value_reference": 2.317683, "structural_low": 1.24, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": -5e-05, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.005803, "regime_survival": 0.821429, "best_return": 0.135575, "worst_return": -0.246914, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.062059, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.036358, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.354056, "worst_return": -0.340807, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.07189, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.12962, "worst_return": -0.18577, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 4, 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}, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.56, "volume": 167882510, "typical_volume": 156229784.55, "trend": 2.218333, "fair_value": 2.336678, "relative_strength": -32.855864, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.75919, "energy": 58.801972, "activity_lines": [ 1.578667, 1.586545, 1.77319, 1.956581 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.35, "volume": 260955120, "typical_volume": 161942811.5, "trend": 2.16, "fair_value": 2.330428, "relative_strength": -41.971091, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.2341, "energy": 61.85196, "activity_lines": [ 1.512667, 1.538182, 1.716095, 1.900559 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.49, "volume": 151480087, "typical_volume": 164105963.95, "trend": 2.111, "fair_value": 2.324899, "relative_strength": -35.551745, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.285033, "energy": 53.78566, "activity_lines": [ 1.501333, 1.524, 1.677476, 1.857333 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.41, "volume": 96520250, "typical_volume": 161616354.05, "trend": 2.067, "fair_value": 2.317683, "relative_strength": -39.993662, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.45033, "energy": 59.515245, "activity_lines": [ 1.458, 1.497273, 1.635619, 1.812108 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }