{ "ticker": { "uuid": "5bcaeccb-7de4-4703-977c-9135945a4e38", "symbol": "OPRA", "name": "Opera Ltd", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 68.606, "architecture_energy": 45.299, "architecture_maturity": 63.267, "architecture_confidence": 80.835, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.96, "rotation_up": 52.13, "upward_expansion": 79.07, "deceleration": 64.2, "rotation_down": 24.39, "downward_expansion": 5.73 }, "activity_lines": [ 19.250667, 19.04678, 18.552874, 17.704977 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 19.96, "trend_reference": 16.462835, "distance_from_trend": 0.212428, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 14.64985, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.362471, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 10.202223, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.570417, "excess_performance": 0.382963, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.212428, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.119403, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.362471, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.063448, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.102022, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.107039, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.570417, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.610518, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1637718, "relative_activity": 0.800906, "balance": 1.610518, "dry_up": 0.836917, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.073679, "annualized_volatility": 0.508519, "from_high_reference": -0.039461, "from_low_reference": 0.704526 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 16.462835, "fair_value_reference": 14.64985, "structural_low": 11.89, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.013492, "positive_rate": 0.578947, "directional_follow_through": 0.578947, "median_excess_return": 0.025736, "regime_survival": 0.736842, "best_return": 0.404545, "worst_return": -0.277551, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.028302, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.069576, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.86192, "worst_return": -0.234264, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.061198, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.099699, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 2.221303, "worst_return": -0.263354, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"direction": 65.027634, "energy": 49.888716, "activity_lines": [ 18.903857, 18.550239, 17.819494, 16.885659 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 19.36, "volume": 1958284, "typical_volume": 2206514.65, "trend": 15.932347, "fair_value": 14.569124, "relative_strength": 10.926328, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.977407, "energy": 58.521863, "activity_lines": [ 19.147389, 18.728511, 18.045184, 17.118927 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 18.48, "volume": 1656331, "typical_volume": 2094541.55, "trend": 16.077717, "fair_value": 14.588391, "relative_strength": 7.82091, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.344373, "energy": 45.980141, "activity_lines": [ 18.994778, 18.73551, 18.171255, 17.283292 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 18.9, "volume": 1593086, "typical_volume": 2061545.0, "trend": 16.246169, "fair_value": 14.609956, "relative_strength": 9.710331, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.310932, "energy": 41.5771, "activity_lines": [ 18.960239, 18.808145, 18.322136, 17.465375 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 19.96, "volume": 1637718, "typical_volume": 2044830.9, "trend": 16.462835, "fair_value": 14.64985, "relative_strength": 10.202223, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.605988, "energy": 45.299075, "activity_lines": [ 19.250667, 19.04678, 18.552874, 17.704977 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }